Recent Cleveland Fed nowcasts project June 2026 headline CPI at just 0.07% month-over-month, underpinning the dominant market-implied probability on outcomes at or below 0.1%. The May release printed 0.5% MoM and 4.2% year-over-year, driven largely by a 3.9% energy surge tied to the Iran-related shock, yet core measures eased to 0.2% MoM. Traders appear to price in a rapid reversal in gasoline and fuel-oil contributions, alongside contained shelter and food trends, while monitoring any further pass-through from tariffs or supply disruptions. The next CPI print, due mid-July, will test whether these subdued readings hold or whether persistent energy volatility reasserts upward pressure on the monthly rate.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado≤0,1% 87%
0,2% 7%
0,6% 3.5%
0,4% 3.2%
NUEVO
NUEVO
15 jul 2026
≤0,1%
87%
0,2%
7%
0,3%
3%
0,4%
3%
0,5%
1%
0,6%
4%
0,7%
2%
0,8%
2%
≥0,9%
3%
≤0,1% 87%
0,2% 7%
0,6% 3.5%
0,4% 3.2%
NUEVO
NUEVO
15 jul 2026
≤0,1%
$726 Vol.
87%
0,2%
$215 Vol.
7%
0,3%
$195 Vol.
3%
0,4%
$188 Vol.
3%
0,5%
$143 Vol.
1%
0,6%
$212 Vol.
4%
0,7%
$266 Vol.
2%
0,8%
$265 Vol.
2%
≥0,9%
$284 Vol.
3%
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in June 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for June 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on July 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent Cleveland Fed nowcasts project June 2026 headline CPI at just 0.07% month-over-month, underpinning the dominant market-implied probability on outcomes at or below 0.1%. The May release printed 0.5% MoM and 4.2% year-over-year, driven largely by a 3.9% energy surge tied to the Iran-related shock, yet core measures eased to 0.2% MoM. Traders appear to price in a rapid reversal in gasoline and fuel-oil contributions, alongside contained shelter and food trends, while monitoring any further pass-through from tariffs or supply disruptions. The next CPI print, due mid-July, will test whether these subdued readings hold or whether persistent energy volatility reasserts upward pressure on the monthly rate.
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in June 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for June 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on July 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in June 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for June 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on July 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Mercado abierto: Jun 10, 2026, 11:39 AM ET
Volumen
$2,495Fecha de finalización
15 jul 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 10, 2026, 11:39 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in June 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for June 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on July 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent Cleveland Fed nowcasts project June 2026 headline CPI at just 0.07% month-over-month, underpinning the dominant market-implied probability on outcomes at or below 0.1%. The May release printed 0.5% MoM and 4.2% year-over-year, driven largely by a 3.9% energy surge tied to the Iran-related shock, yet core measures eased to 0.2% MoM. Traders appear to price in a rapid reversal in gasoline and fuel-oil contributions, alongside contained shelter and food trends, while monitoring any further pass-through from tariffs or supply disruptions. The next CPI print, due mid-July, will test whether these subdued readings hold or whether persistent energy volatility reasserts upward pressure on the monthly rate.
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in June 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for June 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on July 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in June 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for June 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on July 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Volumen
$2,495Fecha de finalización
15 jul 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 10, 2026, 11:39 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Cleveland Fed nowcasts project June 2026 headline CPI at just 0.07% month-over-month, underpinning the dominant market-implied probability on outcomes at or below 0.1%. The May release printed 0.5% MoM and 4.2% year-over-year, driven largely by a 3.9% energy surge tied to the Iran-related shock, yet core measures eased to 0.2% MoM. Traders appear to price in a rapid reversal in gasoline and fuel-oil contributions, alongside contained shelter and food trends, while monitoring any further pass-through from tariffs or supply disruptions. The next CPI print, due mid-July, will test whether these subdued readings hold or whether persistent energy volatility reasserts upward pressure on the monthly rate.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes