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icon for Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31?

Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31?

icon for Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31?

Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31?

dic 31

dic 31

55% probabilidad
Polymarket
NUEVO
55% probabilidad
Polymarket
NUEVO
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Howard Lutnick ceases to be the US Secretary of Commerce for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Lutnick's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Trump administration however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader sentiment on Howard Lutnick remaining Secretary of Commerce through December 31, 2026, reflects a narrow 53.5% "No" lead amid persistent Epstein-related controversies and ethics allegations tied to tariff refunds benefiting his firm, Cantor Fitzgerald. Recent bipartisan calls for resignation, including over newly surfaced Epstein files showing island visits and business ties, have intensified scrutiny during April Senate Appropriations hearings where Lutnick defended the 2027 budget and addressed AI regulations, weather service lapses, and trade strategies. Balancing this, his active oversight of "gold card" visas—now with one approval—and Japan trade projects signals White House support, while no resignation announcement or formal probes sustain the edge for continuity. Escalating congressional holds, DOJ investigations, or tariff probes could tip toward departure; major trade wins or presidential endorsements might solidify his position.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Howard Lutnick ceases to be the US Secretary of Commerce for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Lutnick's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Trump administration however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$9,414
Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026
Mercado abierto
Mar 31, 2026, 4:16 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Howard Lutnick ceases to be the US Secretary of Commerce for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Lutnick's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Trump administration however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Howard Lutnick ceases to be the US Secretary of Commerce for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Lutnick's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Trump administration however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader sentiment on Howard Lutnick remaining Secretary of Commerce through December 31, 2026, reflects a narrow 53.5% "No" lead amid persistent Epstein-related controversies and ethics allegations tied to tariff refunds benefiting his firm, Cantor Fitzgerald. Recent bipartisan calls for resignation, including over newly surfaced Epstein files showing island visits and business ties, have intensified scrutiny during April Senate Appropriations hearings where Lutnick defended the 2027 budget and addressed AI regulations, weather service lapses, and trade strategies. Balancing this, his active oversight of "gold card" visas—now with one approval—and Japan trade projects signals White House support, while no resignation announcement or formal probes sustain the edge for continuity. Escalating congressional holds, DOJ investigations, or tariff probes could tip toward departure; major trade wins or presidential endorsements might solidify his position.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Howard Lutnick ceases to be the US Secretary of Commerce for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Lutnick's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Trump administration however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$9,414
Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026
Mercado abierto
Mar 31, 2026, 4:16 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Howard Lutnick ceases to be the US Secretary of Commerce for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Lutnick's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Trump administration however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket donde los operadores compran y venden acciones de "Sí" o "No" según si creen que este evento ocurrirá. La probabilidad actual según la comunidad es 55% para "Yes". Por ejemplo, si "Sí" se cotiza a 55¢, el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 55% de que este evento ocurra. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos e información. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31?" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Mar 31, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31?", simplemente elige si crees que la respuesta es "Sí" o "No". Cada lado tiene un precio actual que refleja la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si compras acciones de "Sí" y el resultado se resuelve como "Sí", cada acción paga $1. Si se resuelve como "No", tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución para asegurar ganancias o limitar pérdidas.

La probabilidad actual para "Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31?" es 55% para "Yes". Esto significa que la comunidad de Polymarket actualmente cree que hay una probabilidad de 55% de que este evento ocurra. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real basándose en operaciones reales, proporcionando una señal continuamente actualizada de lo que el mercado espera.

Las reglas de resolución para "Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.