Global seismicity averages roughly 0.3–0.4 magnitude 6.5+ events per week, with short-term variability driven by subduction-zone activity along the Pacific Ring of Fire and mid-ocean ridges. USGS catalogs through June 14 show only isolated, borderline activity in the June 8–14 window, including a single M6.5 event offshore the Philippines on June 8 that remains under final review for depth, aftershock classification, and exact magnitude thresholds. No sustained clustering, foreshock sequences, or new alerts from monitoring agencies have emerged to elevate counts, supporting the market’s strong 79.5% implied probability for zero qualifying events. Final USGS revisions and any late offshore detections could still shift the tally before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Cuántos terremotos de 6.5 o más del 8 al 14 de junio?
0 82%
1 15%
2 2.4%
3 1.0%
$23,696 Vol.
$23,696 Vol.
0
80%
1
15%
2
2%
3
1%
4
<1%
5
1%
>5
<1%
0 82%
1 15%
2 2.4%
3 1.0%
$23,696 Vol.
$23,696 Vol.
0
80%
1
15%
2
2%
3
1%
4
<1%
5
1%
>5
<1%
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
Mercado abierto: Jun 5, 2026, 6:46 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Global seismicity averages roughly 0.3–0.4 magnitude 6.5+ events per week, with short-term variability driven by subduction-zone activity along the Pacific Ring of Fire and mid-ocean ridges. USGS catalogs through June 14 show only isolated, borderline activity in the June 8–14 window, including a single M6.5 event offshore the Philippines on June 8 that remains under final review for depth, aftershock classification, and exact magnitude thresholds. No sustained clustering, foreshock sequences, or new alerts from monitoring agencies have emerged to elevate counts, supporting the market’s strong 79.5% implied probability for zero qualifying events. Final USGS revisions and any late offshore detections could still shift the tally before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes