In Panama City's tropical wet season, trader sentiment for the June 15 high centers on afternoon convection patterns that typically cap temperatures near the 29°C climatological average. Recent model consensus from global ensembles highlights variable cloud cover and scattered showers, with earlier or heavier rainfall favoring a 30°C peak through reduced insolation and evaporative cooling, while delayed or lighter activity supports 31–32°C under stronger daytime heating. High humidity and light winds limit diurnal ranges, and any shift in steering currents or moisture influx from the Caribbean could alter convective timing. Market-implied odds near 30–31°C reflect this narrow uncertainty band, with resolution hinging on the exact hour of peak readings before evening storms develop.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en la ciudad de Panamá el 15 de junio?
31°C 40%
30°C 34%
32°C 19%
29°C 7%
25°C o menos
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
7%
30°C
34%
31°C
40%
32°C
19%
33°C
2%
34°C
<1%
35°C o más
<1%
31°C 40%
30°C 34%
32°C 19%
29°C 7%
25°C o menos
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
7%
30°C
34%
31°C
40%
32°C
19%
33°C
2%
34°C
<1%
35°C o más
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 13, 2026, 9:04 PM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...In Panama City's tropical wet season, trader sentiment for the June 15 high centers on afternoon convection patterns that typically cap temperatures near the 29°C climatological average. Recent model consensus from global ensembles highlights variable cloud cover and scattered showers, with earlier or heavier rainfall favoring a 30°C peak through reduced insolation and evaporative cooling, while delayed or lighter activity supports 31–32°C under stronger daytime heating. High humidity and light winds limit diurnal ranges, and any shift in steering currents or moisture influx from the Caribbean could alter convective timing. Market-implied odds near 30–31°C reflect this narrow uncertainty band, with resolution hinging on the exact hour of peak readings before evening storms develop.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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