PAGASA's extended outlook and sub-seasonal forecast for June 11–17 project slightly above-average temperatures over Luzon, with Manila highs of 33–34°C expected on June 15 amid southwest monsoon flow and 40% rain chance. This consensus, reinforced by typical June climatology of 32°C averages and recent model runs showing limited intensification potential, underpins the market's heavy weighting toward 33°C and 32°C outcomes. High humidity, possible afternoon convection, and urban heat moderation reduce odds of 35°C-plus readings, while any last-minute clearing could shift probabilities modestly higher before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Manila el 15 de junio?
¿La temperatura más alta en Manila el 15 de junio?
33°C 45%
32°C 27%
34°C 20%
31°C 3.5%
NUEVO
NUEVO
15 jun 2026
28°C o menos
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
4%
32°C
27%
33°C
45%
34°C
20%
35°C
3%
36°C
1%
37°C
<1%
38°C o más
<1%
33°C 45%
32°C 27%
34°C 20%
31°C 3.5%
NUEVO
NUEVO
15 jun 2026
28°C o menos
$450 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$211 Vol.
1%
30°C
$150 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$482 Vol.
4%
32°C
$167 Vol.
27%
33°C
$141 Vol.
45%
34°C
$794 Vol.
20%
35°C
$415 Vol.
3%
36°C
$138 Vol.
1%
37°C
$93 Vol.
<1%
38°C o más
$30 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.PAGASA's extended outlook and sub-seasonal forecast for June 11–17 project slightly above-average temperatures over Luzon, with Manila highs of 33–34°C expected on June 15 amid southwest monsoon flow and 40% rain chance. This consensus, reinforced by typical June climatology of 32°C averages and recent model runs showing limited intensification potential, underpins the market's heavy weighting toward 33°C and 32°C outcomes. High humidity, possible afternoon convection, and urban heat moderation reduce odds of 35°C-plus readings, while any last-minute clearing could shift probabilities modestly higher before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 13, 2026, 12:11 AM ET
Volumen
$3,023Fecha de finalización
15 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 13, 2026, 12:11 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.PAGASA's extended outlook and sub-seasonal forecast for June 11–17 project slightly above-average temperatures over Luzon, with Manila highs of 33–34°C expected on June 15 amid southwest monsoon flow and 40% rain chance. This consensus, reinforced by typical June climatology of 32°C averages and recent model runs showing limited intensification potential, underpins the market's heavy weighting toward 33°C and 32°C outcomes. High humidity, possible afternoon convection, and urban heat moderation reduce odds of 35°C-plus readings, while any last-minute clearing could shift probabilities modestly higher before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$3,023Fecha de finalización
15 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 13, 2026, 12:11 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...PAGASA's extended outlook and sub-seasonal forecast for June 11–17 project slightly above-average temperatures over Luzon, with Manila highs of 33–34°C expected on June 15 amid southwest monsoon flow and 40% rain chance. This consensus, reinforced by typical June climatology of 32°C averages and recent model runs showing limited intensification potential, underpins the market's heavy weighting toward 33°C and 32°C outcomes. High humidity, possible afternoon convection, and urban heat moderation reduce odds of 35°C-plus readings, while any last-minute clearing could shift probabilities modestly higher before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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