Current forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and ensemble models indicate a daytime maximum near 30°C on June 6 under southerly flow, persistent cloud cover, and isolated showers that suppress solar heating and limit afternoon warming. This aligns with climatological June averages of 30–31°C for maximum temperatures while reflecting the shift from the prior day’s clear, hot conditions that produced 34.6°C. Higher outcomes above 31°C remain unlikely absent rapid clearing or stronger subsidence, whereas any increase in convective activity could cap the peak below 30°C. Traders are weighting the consensus guidance heavily given the short time remaining to resolution and the narrow uncertainty range in the latest model runs.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Hong Kong on June 6?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on June 6?
30°C 83.5%
31°C 12%
32°C 3.4%
33°C 2.3%
NUEVO
$96,558 Vol.
NUEVO
$96,558 Vol.
6 jun 2026
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
84%
31°C
12%
32°C
3%
33°C
2%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
30°C 83.5%
31°C 12%
32°C 3.4%
33°C 2.3%
NUEVO
$96,558 Vol.
NUEVO
$96,558 Vol.
6 jun 2026
28°C or below
$9,597 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$19,987 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$16,385 Vol.
84%
31°C
$13,722 Vol.
12%
32°C
$10,692 Vol.
3%
33°C
$9,123 Vol.
2%
34°C
$9,950 Vol.
<1%
35°C
$11,121 Vol.
<1%
36°C
$1,270 Vol.
<1%
37°C
$730 Vol.
<1%
38°C or higher
$2,014 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 6 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and ensemble models indicate a daytime maximum near 30°C on June 6 under southerly flow, persistent cloud cover, and isolated showers that suppress solar heating and limit afternoon warming. This aligns with climatological June averages of 30–31°C for maximum temperatures while reflecting the shift from the prior day’s clear, hot conditions that produced 34.6°C. Higher outcomes above 31°C remain unlikely absent rapid clearing or stronger subsidence, whereas any increase in convective activity could cap the peak below 30°C. Traders are weighting the consensus guidance heavily given the short time remaining to resolution and the narrow uncertainty range in the latest model runs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 6 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Jun 5, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Volumen
$96,558Fecha de finalización
6 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 5, 2026, 12:07 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 6 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and ensemble models indicate a daytime maximum near 30°C on June 6 under southerly flow, persistent cloud cover, and isolated showers that suppress solar heating and limit afternoon warming. This aligns with climatological June averages of 30–31°C for maximum temperatures while reflecting the shift from the prior day’s clear, hot conditions that produced 34.6°C. Higher outcomes above 31°C remain unlikely absent rapid clearing or stronger subsidence, whereas any increase in convective activity could cap the peak below 30°C. Traders are weighting the consensus guidance heavily given the short time remaining to resolution and the narrow uncertainty range in the latest model runs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 6 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$96,558Fecha de finalización
6 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 5, 2026, 12:07 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and ensemble models indicate a daytime maximum near 30°C on June 6 under southerly flow, persistent cloud cover, and isolated showers that suppress solar heating and limit afternoon warming. This aligns with climatological June averages of 30–31°C for maximum temperatures while reflecting the shift from the prior day’s clear, hot conditions that produced 34.6°C. Higher outcomes above 31°C remain unlikely absent rapid clearing or stronger subsidence, whereas any increase in convective activity could cap the peak below 30°C. Traders are weighting the consensus guidance heavily given the short time remaining to resolution and the narrow uncertainty range in the latest model runs.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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