Official forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency indicate an overnight low of 18°C for Tokyo on June 7 under mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers, aligning closely with the market's leading outcome. This reflects typical early-summer conditions where cloud cover reduces radiative cooling overnight, moderating temperature drops compared to clearer nights. Ensemble models show limited spread around 17–19°C, consistent with seasonal baselines near 17°C and the influence of persistent humidity and light winds that suppress further cooling. New model runs and updated JMA guidance over the next 24 hours represent the key variables that could shift probabilities if precipitation timing or wind patterns change.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoLowest temperature in Tokyo on June 7?
Lowest temperature in Tokyo on June 7?
18°C 32%
17°C 22%
16°C 13%
19°C 10%
NUEVO
NUEVO
7 jun 2026
11°C o menos
1%
12°C
1%
13°C
1%
14°C
5%
15°C
3%
16°C
13%
17°C
29%
18°C
23%
19°C
10%
20°C
1%
21°C or higher
1%
18°C 32%
17°C 22%
16°C 13%
19°C 10%
NUEVO
NUEVO
7 jun 2026
11°C o menos
$115 Vol.
1%
12°C
$50 Vol.
1%
13°C
$134 Vol.
1%
14°C
$108 Vol.
5%
15°C
$55 Vol.
3%
16°C
$25 Vol.
13%
17°C
$34 Vol.
29%
18°C
$66 Vol.
23%
19°C
$62 Vol.
10%
20°C
$45 Vol.
1%
21°C or higher
$237 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency indicate an overnight low of 18°C for Tokyo on June 7 under mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers, aligning closely with the market's leading outcome. This reflects typical early-summer conditions where cloud cover reduces radiative cooling overnight, moderating temperature drops compared to clearer nights. Ensemble models show limited spread around 17–19°C, consistent with seasonal baselines near 17°C and the influence of persistent humidity and light winds that suppress further cooling. New model runs and updated JMA guidance over the next 24 hours represent the key variables that could shift probabilities if precipitation timing or wind patterns change.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 6, 2026, 12:34 AM ET
Volumen
$845Fecha de finalización
7 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 6, 2026, 12:34 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency indicate an overnight low of 18°C for Tokyo on June 7 under mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers, aligning closely with the market's leading outcome. This reflects typical early-summer conditions where cloud cover reduces radiative cooling overnight, moderating temperature drops compared to clearer nights. Ensemble models show limited spread around 17–19°C, consistent with seasonal baselines near 17°C and the influence of persistent humidity and light winds that suppress further cooling. New model runs and updated JMA guidance over the next 24 hours represent the key variables that could shift probabilities if precipitation timing or wind patterns change.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$845Fecha de finalización
7 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 6, 2026, 12:34 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency indicate an overnight low of 18°C for Tokyo on June 7 under mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers, aligning closely with the market's leading outcome. This reflects typical early-summer conditions where cloud cover reduces radiative cooling overnight, moderating temperature drops compared to clearer nights. Ensemble models show limited spread around 17–19°C, consistent with seasonal baselines near 17°C and the influence of persistent humidity and light winds that suppress further cooling. New model runs and updated JMA guidance over the next 24 hours represent the key variables that could shift probabilities if precipitation timing or wind patterns change.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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