Latest official forecasts from Taiwan’s Central Weather Administration point to peak temperatures of 33–34°C in Taipei on June 7, driven by typical early-summer subtropical high pressure, abundant moisture, and strong daytime heating under partly cloudy skies. Afternoon convective showers or thunderstorms, common in June’s monsoon transition, could cap the maximum by enhancing cloud cover and evaporative cooling, while urban heat-island effects in the densely built city center may push localized readings slightly higher. Ensemble models show modest spread around these values, with minimal risk of exceeding 35°C or falling below 32°C given stable steering patterns and sea-surface temperatures near seasonal norms. Traders weigh these meteorological thresholds against historical June maxima averaging near 31°C, creating tight market-implied odds between the two leading outcomes.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Taipei on June 7?
34°C 32%
33°C 28%
32°C 18%
35°C 16%
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
5%
31°C
7%
32°C
18%
33°C
28%
34°C
32%
35°C
16%
36°C
6%
37°C
1%
38°C or higher
<1%
34°C 32%
33°C 28%
32°C 18%
35°C 16%
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
5%
31°C
7%
32°C
18%
33°C
28%
34°C
32%
35°C
16%
36°C
6%
37°C
1%
38°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 6, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest official forecasts from Taiwan’s Central Weather Administration point to peak temperatures of 33–34°C in Taipei on June 7, driven by typical early-summer subtropical high pressure, abundant moisture, and strong daytime heating under partly cloudy skies. Afternoon convective showers or thunderstorms, common in June’s monsoon transition, could cap the maximum by enhancing cloud cover and evaporative cooling, while urban heat-island effects in the densely built city center may push localized readings slightly higher. Ensemble models show modest spread around these values, with minimal risk of exceeding 35°C or falling below 32°C given stable steering patterns and sea-surface temperatures near seasonal norms. Traders weigh these meteorological thresholds against historical June maxima averaging near 31°C, creating tight market-implied odds between the two leading outcomes.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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