Recent short-term forecasts from meteorological models place Shanghai’s maximum temperature on June 7 in the 26–29 °C range, aligning with early-June climatology in the city’s subtropical monsoon climate. Trader consensus, reflected in the leading implied probabilities for 27 °C and 28 °C, tracks these guidance runs showing modest daytime warming under partly cloudy skies and light southerly flow, without signals for rapid intensification or anomalous cooling. Historical data indicate typical early-June highs near 26–28 °C, with lower odds assigned to 25 °C or below and 29 °C or above given the narrow uncertainty envelope in current model ensembles. Updated runs expected overnight will provide the next key input for any probability shifts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Shanghai on June 7?
27°C 39%
28°C 28%
26°C 19%
29°C 11%
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
2%
25°C
5%
26°C
19%
27°C
39%
28°C
28%
29°C
11%
30°C
1%
31°C or higher
<1%
27°C 39%
28°C 28%
26°C 19%
29°C 11%
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
2%
25°C
5%
26°C
19%
27°C
39%
28°C
28%
29°C
11%
30°C
1%
31°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 6, 2026, 12:35 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-term forecasts from meteorological models place Shanghai’s maximum temperature on June 7 in the 26–29 °C range, aligning with early-June climatology in the city’s subtropical monsoon climate. Trader consensus, reflected in the leading implied probabilities for 27 °C and 28 °C, tracks these guidance runs showing modest daytime warming under partly cloudy skies and light southerly flow, without signals for rapid intensification or anomalous cooling. Historical data indicate typical early-June highs near 26–28 °C, with lower odds assigned to 25 °C or below and 29 °C or above given the narrow uncertainty envelope in current model ensembles. Updated runs expected overnight will provide the next key input for any probability shifts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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