National Weather Service forecasts for Houston point to a high near 87°F on June 7, with partly sunny skies and scattered thunderstorms expected to limit daytime heating below the seasonal average of 92°F. Cloud cover and precipitation reduce solar radiation and evaporative cooling, anchoring trader consensus around the 84–89°F range that holds over 77% of market-implied probability. Model guidance shows modest spread due to variable storm timing and intensity, creating the observed clustering while keeping higher outcomes like 90°F or above below 10% combined. Updated model runs and morning observations on June 7 will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Houston on June 7?
86-87°F 39%
88-89°F 22%
84-85°F 20%
90-91°F 8%
79°F or below
1%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
4%
84-85°F
20%
86-87°F
39%
88-89°F
22%
90-91°F
8%
92-93°F
2%
94-95°F
1%
96-97°F
<1%
98°F or higher
<1%
86-87°F 39%
88-89°F 22%
84-85°F 20%
90-91°F 8%
79°F or below
1%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
4%
84-85°F
20%
86-87°F
39%
88-89°F
22%
90-91°F
8%
92-93°F
2%
94-95°F
1%
96-97°F
<1%
98°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 6, 2026, 12:34 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service forecasts for Houston point to a high near 87°F on June 7, with partly sunny skies and scattered thunderstorms expected to limit daytime heating below the seasonal average of 92°F. Cloud cover and precipitation reduce solar radiation and evaporative cooling, anchoring trader consensus around the 84–89°F range that holds over 77% of market-implied probability. Model guidance shows modest spread due to variable storm timing and intensity, creating the observed clustering while keeping higher outcomes like 90°F or above below 10% combined. Updated model runs and morning observations on June 7 will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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