France's position as the FIFA world number one and superior squad depth, featuring Kylian Mbappé's expected recovery from a recent left hamstring injury in time for the June 16 World Cup Group I opener at neutral MetLife Stadium, underpin trader consensus pricing their win at 68.5% implied probability. Senegal, ranked 14th after a strong Africa Cup of Nations final run earlier this year despite title controversy, pose a realistic upset threat at 12% backed by their 2022 World Cup penalty shootout victory over France, but lack France's attacking firepower. A draw at 20% reflects both teams' defensive solidity in high-stakes group stage matches, with no major injuries or form shifts in the past week altering the landscape.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoIf France wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Mercado abierto: Apr 6, 2026, 6:21 PM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.fifa.com/fifaplus/en/tournaments/mens/worldcupResolver
0x69c47De9D...If France wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Mercado abierto: Apr 6, 2026, 6:21 PM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.fifa.com/fifaplus/en/tournaments/mens/worldcupResolver
0x69c47De9D...France's position as the FIFA world number one and superior squad depth, featuring Kylian Mbappé's expected recovery from a recent left hamstring injury in time for the June 16 World Cup Group I opener at neutral MetLife Stadium, underpin trader consensus pricing their win at 68.5% implied probability. Senegal, ranked 14th after a strong Africa Cup of Nations final run earlier this year despite title controversy, pose a realistic upset threat at 12% backed by their 2022 World Cup penalty shootout victory over France, but lack France's attacking firepower. A draw at 20% reflects both teams' defensive solidity in high-stakes group stage matches, with no major injuries or form shifts in the past week altering the landscape.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado

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