France holds a commanding 70.5% implied probability to win Group I at the 2026 FIFA World Cup, driven by their world-class squad depth featuring Kylian Mbappé's clinical finishing and a robust qualifying campaign, despite recent injury scares for the Real Madrid star and season-ending blows like Hugo Ekitiké's Achilles rupture testing Didier Deschamps' next-man-up depth. Norway sits at 22% trader consensus thanks to Erling Haaland's goal-scoring prowess and Martin Ødegaard's creativity from UEFA playoffs, positioning them as competitive challengers in a group of death. Senegal's 9% reflects their Teranga Lions' counterattacking threat led by Sadio Mané and strong AFCON form, while Iraq's scant 0.6% underscores their underdog status post-April playoff upset over Bolivia for their first World Cup in 40 years. Ongoing training camps highlight injury management across all sides as key ahead of the June 16 kickoff.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoFrancia 71%
Noruega 22%
Senegal 9%
Irak <1%
$122,890 Vol.
$122,890 Vol.
27 jun 2026
Francia
71%
Noruega
22%
Senegal
9%
Irak
1%
Francia 71%
Noruega 22%
Senegal 9%
Irak <1%
$122,890 Vol.
$122,890 Vol.
27 jun 2026
Francia
$51,959 Vol.
71%
Noruega
$12,498 Vol.
22%
Senegal
$15,817 Vol.
9%
Irak
$42,616 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026.
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.France holds a commanding 70.5% implied probability to win Group I at the 2026 FIFA World Cup, driven by their world-class squad depth featuring Kylian Mbappé's clinical finishing and a robust qualifying campaign, despite recent injury scares for the Real Madrid star and season-ending blows like Hugo Ekitiké's Achilles rupture testing Didier Deschamps' next-man-up depth. Norway sits at 22% trader consensus thanks to Erling Haaland's goal-scoring prowess and Martin Ødegaard's creativity from UEFA playoffs, positioning them as competitive challengers in a group of death. Senegal's 9% reflects their Teranga Lions' counterattacking threat led by Sadio Mané and strong AFCON form, while Iraq's scant 0.6% underscores their underdog status post-April playoff upset over Bolivia for their first World Cup in 40 years. Ongoing training camps highlight injury management across all sides as key ahead of the June 16 kickoff.
This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026.
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Dec 5, 2025, 7:01 PM ET
Volumen
$122,890Fecha de finalización
27 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 5, 2025, 7:01 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026.
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.France holds a commanding 70.5% implied probability to win Group I at the 2026 FIFA World Cup, driven by their world-class squad depth featuring Kylian Mbappé's clinical finishing and a robust qualifying campaign, despite recent injury scares for the Real Madrid star and season-ending blows like Hugo Ekitiké's Achilles rupture testing Didier Deschamps' next-man-up depth. Norway sits at 22% trader consensus thanks to Erling Haaland's goal-scoring prowess and Martin Ødegaard's creativity from UEFA playoffs, positioning them as competitive challengers in a group of death. Senegal's 9% reflects their Teranga Lions' counterattacking threat led by Sadio Mané and strong AFCON form, while Iraq's scant 0.6% underscores their underdog status post-April playoff upset over Bolivia for their first World Cup in 40 years. Ongoing training camps highlight injury management across all sides as key ahead of the June 16 kickoff.
This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026.
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$122,890Fecha de finalización
27 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 5, 2025, 7:01 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...France holds a commanding 70.5% implied probability to win Group I at the 2026 FIFA World Cup, driven by their world-class squad depth featuring Kylian Mbappé's clinical finishing and a robust qualifying campaign, despite recent injury scares for the Real Madrid star and season-ending blows like Hugo Ekitiké's Achilles rupture testing Didier Deschamps' next-man-up depth. Norway sits at 22% trader consensus thanks to Erling Haaland's goal-scoring prowess and Martin Ødegaard's creativity from UEFA playoffs, positioning them as competitive challengers in a group of death. Senegal's 9% reflects their Teranga Lions' counterattacking threat led by Sadio Mané and strong AFCON form, while Iraq's scant 0.6% underscores their underdog status post-April playoff upset over Bolivia for their first World Cup in 40 years. Ongoing training camps highlight injury management across all sides as key ahead of the June 16 kickoff.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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