With the 48-team field locked in after early April UEFA playoffs securing spots for Bosnia & Herzegovina, Sweden, Turkey, and Czech Republic, alongside hosts USA, Canada, and Mexico, the expanded format—12 groups of four advancing top two plus eight best third-placers to a round-of-32 knockout—amplifies path variability and upset potential from debutants like Curaçao and Uzbekistan. Recent injury blows include Brazil's Rodrygo (ACL tear, ruled out) and France's Hugo Ekitike (Achilles), while Lamine Yamal, Luka Modrić, and others race fitness ahead of June 11 kickoff. Trader consensus favors Spain, France, and Argentina due to elite seeding, depth, and recent major tournament success, tempered by hosts' home splits across three nations and grueling schedule density.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado2026 FIFA World Cup: Nation to Reach Final
2026 FIFA World Cup: Nation to Reach Final
Spain
37%
France
36%
England
31%
Austria
29%
Brazil
23%
Argentina
23%
South Korea
20%
Canada
20%
Germany
18%
Netherlands
17%
Portugal
14%
Belgium
11%
Croatia
11%
Sweden
9%
Scotland
8%
Turkiye
8%
Morocco
7%
Switzerland
6%
Norway
6%
USA
6%
Iraq
6%
Egypt
6%
Haiti
5%
Colombia
5%
Bosnia and Herzegovina
5%
Czechia
5%
Mexico
5%
South Africa
5%
Qatar
5%
Japan
5%
Uruguay
5%
Australia
5%
New Zealand
5%
Senegal
5%
Cape Verde
4%
Jordan
4%
Paraguay
3%
Ecuador
3%
Uzbekistan
2%
Panama
2%
Iran
2%
Ghana
2%
Tunisia
2%
Saudi Arabia
2%
Algeria
2%
DR Congo
1%
Curacao
1%
Ivory Coast
1%
$1,318 Vol.
Spain
37%
France
36%
England
31%
Austria
29%
Brazil
23%
Argentina
23%
South Korea
20%
Canada
20%
Germany
18%
Netherlands
17%
Portugal
14%
Belgium
11%
Croatia
11%
Sweden
9%
Scotland
8%
Turkiye
8%
Morocco
7%
Switzerland
6%
Norway
6%
USA
6%
Iraq
6%
Egypt
6%
Haiti
5%
Colombia
5%
Bosnia and Herzegovina
5%
Czechia
5%
Mexico
5%
South Africa
5%
Qatar
5%
Japan
5%
Uruguay
5%
Australia
5%
New Zealand
5%
Senegal
5%
Cape Verde
4%
Jordan
4%
Paraguay
3%
Ecuador
3%
Uzbekistan
2%
Panama
2%
Iran
2%
Ghana
2%
Tunisia
2%
Saudi Arabia
2%
Algeria
2%
DR Congo
1%
Curacao
1%
Ivory Coast
1%
If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed nation to advance to the 2026 FIFA World Cup final (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 FIFA World Cup final matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Apr 27, 2026, 10:34 AM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed nation to advance to the 2026 FIFA World Cup final (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 FIFA World Cup final matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...With the 48-team field locked in after early April UEFA playoffs securing spots for Bosnia & Herzegovina, Sweden, Turkey, and Czech Republic, alongside hosts USA, Canada, and Mexico, the expanded format—12 groups of four advancing top two plus eight best third-placers to a round-of-32 knockout—amplifies path variability and upset potential from debutants like Curaçao and Uzbekistan. Recent injury blows include Brazil's Rodrygo (ACL tear, ruled out) and France's Hugo Ekitike (Achilles), while Lamine Yamal, Luka Modrić, and others race fitness ahead of June 11 kickoff. Trader consensus favors Spain, France, and Argentina due to elite seeding, depth, and recent major tournament success, tempered by hosts' home splits across three nations and grueling schedule density.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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