Deep Fission’s May 2026 IPO filing targets a $1.5–1.7 billion valuation via 6 million shares priced at $24–26, yet trader sentiment heavily favors a closing market cap below $1.25 billion. The pre-revenue nuclear startup’s underground small modular reactor design remains at the pre-licensing stage despite DOE pilot selection, and analysts highlight execution risks, limited commercial traction, and questions around its prior SPAC listing. Market-implied odds reflect caution that the offering will price well below the proposed range or face delays, consistent with typical outcomes for early-stage SMR developers amid elevated interest rates and scrutiny of AI-driven nuclear demand narratives. The low probability assigned to “no IPO before August 2026” underscores expectations that the deal will proceed, albeit at a more conservative valuation.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado<$1.25B 61.9%
$1.25B–$1.5B 14.0%
No IPO before August 2026 12.8%
$2.5B–$3.0B 6.6%
$20,143 Vol.
$20,143 Vol.
29 may 2026
<$1.25B
62%
$1.25B–$1.5B
27%
$1.5B–$1.75B
6%
$1.75B–$2.0B
5%
$2.0B–$2.5B
2%
$2.5B–$3.0B
7%
$3.0B+
2%
No IPO before August 2026
13%
<$1.25B 61.9%
$1.25B–$1.5B 14.0%
No IPO before August 2026 12.8%
$2.5B–$3.0B 6.6%
$20,143 Vol.
$20,143 Vol.
29 may 2026
<$1.25B
$1,399 Vol.
62%
$1.25B–$1.5B
$897 Vol.
27%
$1.5B–$1.75B
$9,690 Vol.
6%
$1.75B–$2.0B
$4,402 Vol.
5%
$2.0B–$2.5B
$845 Vol.
2%
$2.5B–$3.0B
$649 Vol.
7%
$3.0B+
$764 Vol.
2%
No IPO before August 2026
$1,497 Vol.
13%
This market will resolve based on Deep Fission's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled to price on May 29 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before August 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company's outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company's total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange's official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange's official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.Deep Fission’s May 2026 IPO filing targets a $1.5–1.7 billion valuation via 6 million shares priced at $24–26, yet trader sentiment heavily favors a closing market cap below $1.25 billion. The pre-revenue nuclear startup’s underground small modular reactor design remains at the pre-licensing stage despite DOE pilot selection, and analysts highlight execution risks, limited commercial traction, and questions around its prior SPAC listing. Market-implied odds reflect caution that the offering will price well below the proposed range or face delays, consistent with typical outcomes for early-stage SMR developers amid elevated interest rates and scrutiny of AI-driven nuclear demand narratives. The low probability assigned to “no IPO before August 2026” underscores expectations that the deal will proceed, albeit at a more conservative valuation.
This market will resolve based on Deep Fission's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled to price on May 29 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before August 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company's outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company's total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange's official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange's official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled to price on May 29 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before August 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company's outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company's total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange's official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange's official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
Mercado abierto: May 27, 2026, 4:07 PM ET
Volumen
$20,143Fecha de finalización
29 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 27, 2026, 4:07 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on Deep Fission's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled to price on May 29 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before August 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company's outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company's total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange's official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange's official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.Deep Fission’s May 2026 IPO filing targets a $1.5–1.7 billion valuation via 6 million shares priced at $24–26, yet trader sentiment heavily favors a closing market cap below $1.25 billion. The pre-revenue nuclear startup’s underground small modular reactor design remains at the pre-licensing stage despite DOE pilot selection, and analysts highlight execution risks, limited commercial traction, and questions around its prior SPAC listing. Market-implied odds reflect caution that the offering will price well below the proposed range or face delays, consistent with typical outcomes for early-stage SMR developers amid elevated interest rates and scrutiny of AI-driven nuclear demand narratives. The low probability assigned to “no IPO before August 2026” underscores expectations that the deal will proceed, albeit at a more conservative valuation.
This market will resolve based on Deep Fission's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled to price on May 29 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before August 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company's outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company's total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange's official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange's official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled to price on May 29 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before August 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company's outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company's total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange's official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange's official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
Volumen
$20,143Fecha de finalización
29 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 27, 2026, 4:07 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Deep Fission’s May 2026 IPO filing targets a $1.5–1.7 billion valuation via 6 million shares priced at $24–26, yet trader sentiment heavily favors a closing market cap below $1.25 billion. The pre-revenue nuclear startup’s underground small modular reactor design remains at the pre-licensing stage despite DOE pilot selection, and analysts highlight execution risks, limited commercial traction, and questions around its prior SPAC listing. Market-implied odds reflect caution that the offering will price well below the proposed range or face delays, consistent with typical outcomes for early-stage SMR developers amid elevated interest rates and scrutiny of AI-driven nuclear demand narratives. The low probability assigned to “no IPO before August 2026” underscores expectations that the deal will proceed, albeit at a more conservative valuation.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes