Alibaba leads trader consensus at 65.5% due to its scale in cloud infrastructure, enterprise adoption of Qwen models, and recent releases like Qwen3.7-Max that ranked fourth globally on coding leaderboards ahead of several U.S. rivals. Z.ai holds 32.5% on the strength of its open-weight GLM-5 and GLM-5.1 series, which topped multiple 2026 benchmarks for reasoning and efficiency while securing major funding and IPO visibility. Moonshot trails at 2.3% despite strong Kimi agentic and video capabilities, reflecting its smaller commercial footprint relative to the two leaders. Lower odds for Baidu, DeepSeek, and others stem from narrower deployment reach or focus on cost rather than broad ecosystem dominance, with no major model breakthroughs shifting the field in the past month.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoAlibaba 66%
Z.ai 33%
Moonshot 2.3%
Baidu <1%
$59,945 Vol.
$59,945 Vol.
30 jun 2026
Alibaba
66%
Z.ai
33%
Moonshot
2%
Baidu
1%
Xiaomi
1%
DeepSeek
<1%
ByteDance
<1%
Tencent
<1%
StepFun
<1%
Meituan
<1%
MiniMax
<1%
Alibaba 66%
Z.ai 33%
Moonshot 2.3%
Baidu <1%
$59,945 Vol.
$59,945 Vol.
30 jun 2026
Alibaba
$13,528 Vol.
66%
Z.ai
$9,854 Vol.
33%
Moonshot
$6,630 Vol.
2%
Baidu
$6,743 Vol.
1%
Xiaomi
$5,123 Vol.
1%
DeepSeek
$4,793 Vol.
<1%
ByteDance
$5,202 Vol.
<1%
Tencent
$3,967 Vol.
<1%
StepFun
$1,087 Vol.
<1%
Meituan
$545 Vol.
<1%
MiniMax
$2,490 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank among primarily Chinese companies, based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on June 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Qualifying Chinese Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Meituan” would be ranked ahead of “Xiaomi”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Alibaba leads trader consensus at 65.5% due to its scale in cloud infrastructure, enterprise adoption of Qwen models, and recent releases like Qwen3.7-Max that ranked fourth globally on coding leaderboards ahead of several U.S. rivals. Z.ai holds 32.5% on the strength of its open-weight GLM-5 and GLM-5.1 series, which topped multiple 2026 benchmarks for reasoning and efficiency while securing major funding and IPO visibility. Moonshot trails at 2.3% despite strong Kimi agentic and video capabilities, reflecting its smaller commercial footprint relative to the two leaders. Lower odds for Baidu, DeepSeek, and others stem from narrower deployment reach or focus on cost rather than broad ecosystem dominance, with no major model breakthroughs shifting the field in the past month.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank among primarily Chinese companies, based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on June 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Qualifying Chinese Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Meituan” would be ranked ahead of “Xiaomi”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Qualifying Chinese Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Meituan” would be ranked ahead of “Xiaomi”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Mercado abierto: May 26, 2026, 6:36 PM ET
Volumen
$59,945Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026Mercado abierto
May 26, 2026, 6:36 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank among primarily Chinese companies, based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on June 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Qualifying Chinese Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Meituan” would be ranked ahead of “Xiaomi”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Alibaba leads trader consensus at 65.5% due to its scale in cloud infrastructure, enterprise adoption of Qwen models, and recent releases like Qwen3.7-Max that ranked fourth globally on coding leaderboards ahead of several U.S. rivals. Z.ai holds 32.5% on the strength of its open-weight GLM-5 and GLM-5.1 series, which topped multiple 2026 benchmarks for reasoning and efficiency while securing major funding and IPO visibility. Moonshot trails at 2.3% despite strong Kimi agentic and video capabilities, reflecting its smaller commercial footprint relative to the two leaders. Lower odds for Baidu, DeepSeek, and others stem from narrower deployment reach or focus on cost rather than broad ecosystem dominance, with no major model breakthroughs shifting the field in the past month.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank among primarily Chinese companies, based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on June 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Qualifying Chinese Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Meituan” would be ranked ahead of “Xiaomi”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Qualifying Chinese Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Meituan” would be ranked ahead of “Xiaomi”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Volumen
$59,945Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026Mercado abierto
May 26, 2026, 6:36 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Alibaba leads trader consensus at 65.5% due to its scale in cloud infrastructure, enterprise adoption of Qwen models, and recent releases like Qwen3.7-Max that ranked fourth globally on coding leaderboards ahead of several U.S. rivals. Z.ai holds 32.5% on the strength of its open-weight GLM-5 and GLM-5.1 series, which topped multiple 2026 benchmarks for reasoning and efficiency while securing major funding and IPO visibility. Moonshot trails at 2.3% despite strong Kimi agentic and video capabilities, reflecting its smaller commercial footprint relative to the two leaders. Lower odds for Baidu, DeepSeek, and others stem from narrower deployment reach or focus on cost rather than broad ecosystem dominance, with no major model breakthroughs shifting the field in the past month.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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