Argentina's 2026 annual inflation outlook centers on sustained disinflation under President Milei's fiscal austerity and monetary framework, with May 2026 CPI rising just 2.1% month-over-month—the lowest in eight months—and the year-over-year rate at 33.6%. Analyst consensus from central bank surveys and Reuters polls points to a full-year figure near 29-30.5%, the lowest since 2017, reflecting fiscal surpluses, tighter policy, and greater exchange-rate flexibility that have curbed money printing and import-cost pressures. Inertia from prior relative-price adjustments and lingering wage dynamics create upside risks, while reserve accumulation needs and upcoming debt maturities could influence the pace. Trader sentiment on Polymarket, with the 30.0-34.9% band leading at 33.4% implied probability, mirrors these baselines amid uncertainty over reform continuity and potential last-half 2026 data revisions.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado30.0-34.9% 36.2%
<20% 26.3%
25-29,9% 18%
35–39.9% 10.9%
$10,727 Vol.
$10,727 Vol.
10 ene 2027
<20%
26%
20-24,9%
9%
25-29,9%
18%
30.0-34.9%
33%
35–39.9%
11%
40-44,9%
6%
45%+
6%
30.0-34.9% 36.2%
<20% 26.3%
25-29,9% 18%
35–39.9% 10.9%
$10,727 Vol.
$10,727 Vol.
10 ene 2027
<20%
$2,719 Vol.
26%
20-24,9%
$1,466 Vol.
9%
25-29,9%
$1,696 Vol.
18%
30.0-34.9%
$1,211 Vol.
33%
35–39.9%
$1,363 Vol.
11%
40-44,9%
$1,077 Vol.
6%
45%+
$1,194 Vol.
6%
This is a market about Argentinian inflation over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) over the 12-month period ending in December 2026 (Variación % interanual Total nacional) according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the pdf for the figure under “Variación % interanual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 33.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Argentina's 2026 annual inflation outlook centers on sustained disinflation under President Milei's fiscal austerity and monetary framework, with May 2026 CPI rising just 2.1% month-over-month—the lowest in eight months—and the year-over-year rate at 33.6%. Analyst consensus from central bank surveys and Reuters polls points to a full-year figure near 29-30.5%, the lowest since 2017, reflecting fiscal surpluses, tighter policy, and greater exchange-rate flexibility that have curbed money printing and import-cost pressures. Inertia from prior relative-price adjustments and lingering wage dynamics create upside risks, while reserve accumulation needs and upcoming debt maturities could influence the pace. Trader sentiment on Polymarket, with the 30.0-34.9% band leading at 33.4% implied probability, mirrors these baselines amid uncertainty over reform continuity and potential last-half 2026 data revisions.
This is a market about Argentinian inflation over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) over the 12-month period ending in December 2026 (Variación % interanual Total nacional) according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the pdf for the figure under “Variación % interanual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 33.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) over the 12-month period ending in December 2026 (Variación % interanual Total nacional) according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the pdf for the figure under “Variación % interanual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 33.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Mercado abierto: Jan 21, 2026, 7:15 AM ET
Volumen
$10,727Fecha de finalización
10 ene 2027Mercado abierto
Jan 21, 2026, 7:15 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about Argentinian inflation over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) over the 12-month period ending in December 2026 (Variación % interanual Total nacional) according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the pdf for the figure under “Variación % interanual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 33.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Argentina's 2026 annual inflation outlook centers on sustained disinflation under President Milei's fiscal austerity and monetary framework, with May 2026 CPI rising just 2.1% month-over-month—the lowest in eight months—and the year-over-year rate at 33.6%. Analyst consensus from central bank surveys and Reuters polls points to a full-year figure near 29-30.5%, the lowest since 2017, reflecting fiscal surpluses, tighter policy, and greater exchange-rate flexibility that have curbed money printing and import-cost pressures. Inertia from prior relative-price adjustments and lingering wage dynamics create upside risks, while reserve accumulation needs and upcoming debt maturities could influence the pace. Trader sentiment on Polymarket, with the 30.0-34.9% band leading at 33.4% implied probability, mirrors these baselines amid uncertainty over reform continuity and potential last-half 2026 data revisions.
This is a market about Argentinian inflation over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) over the 12-month period ending in December 2026 (Variación % interanual Total nacional) according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the pdf for the figure under “Variación % interanual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 33.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) over the 12-month period ending in December 2026 (Variación % interanual Total nacional) according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the pdf for the figure under “Variación % interanual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 33.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Volumen
$10,727Fecha de finalización
10 ene 2027Mercado abierto
Jan 21, 2026, 7:15 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Argentina's 2026 annual inflation outlook centers on sustained disinflation under President Milei's fiscal austerity and monetary framework, with May 2026 CPI rising just 2.1% month-over-month—the lowest in eight months—and the year-over-year rate at 33.6%. Analyst consensus from central bank surveys and Reuters polls points to a full-year figure near 29-30.5%, the lowest since 2017, reflecting fiscal surpluses, tighter policy, and greater exchange-rate flexibility that have curbed money printing and import-cost pressures. Inertia from prior relative-price adjustments and lingering wage dynamics create upside risks, while reserve accumulation needs and upcoming debt maturities could influence the pace. Trader sentiment on Polymarket, with the 30.0-34.9% band leading at 33.4% implied probability, mirrors these baselines amid uncertainty over reform continuity and potential last-half 2026 data revisions.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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