USMNT holds a slim trader consensus edge at 49% implied probability for victory over Paraguay in their FIFA World Cup 2026 Group D opener at SoFi Stadium, reflecting home advantage in Los Angeles and a favorable head-to-head record with two recent wins. However, recent injuries have tightened the market, including US absences like Cristian Roldan (head), Tim Ream and Miles Robinson (groin), plus Patrick Agyemang's season-ending Achilles rupture, depleting midfield and defensive depth under coach Mauricio Pochettino. Paraguay counters with their own concerns—star midfielder Diego Gómez sidelined and Miguel Almirón nursing a hamstring—but enters in solid recent form from qualifiers, boosting draw (26%) and upset (24.5%) viability in this closely contested matchup.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedIf United States wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Market Opened: Apr 6, 2026, 6:20 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.fifa.com/fifaplus/en/tournaments/mens/worldcupResolver
0x69c47De9D...If United States wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Market Opened: Apr 6, 2026, 6:20 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.fifa.com/fifaplus/en/tournaments/mens/worldcupResolver
0x69c47De9D...USMNT holds a slim trader consensus edge at 49% implied probability for victory over Paraguay in their FIFA World Cup 2026 Group D opener at SoFi Stadium, reflecting home advantage in Los Angeles and a favorable head-to-head record with two recent wins. However, recent injuries have tightened the market, including US absences like Cristian Roldan (head), Tim Ream and Miles Robinson (groin), plus Patrick Agyemang's season-ending Achilles rupture, depleting midfield and defensive depth under coach Mauricio Pochettino. Paraguay counters with their own concerns—star midfielder Diego Gómez sidelined and Miguel Almirón nursing a hamstring—but enters in solid recent form from qualifiers, boosting draw (26%) and upset (24.5%) viability in this closely contested matchup.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

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