Scotland's 66.5% implied probability reflects their superior FIFA ranking (43rd vs. Haiti's 83rd as of April 1), deeper squad with Premier League talent, and European pedigree in a Group C clash at neutral Gillette Stadium on June 13. Trader consensus acknowledges Scotland's group-stage struggles—highlighted by recent friendly defeats to Japan and Ivory Coast—but favors them over resilient underdogs Haiti, surprise qualifiers amid domestic instability and no home games since 2021. Haiti's narrow 1-0 loss to Tunisia in late March showcased defensive grit but limited attack, compounded by goalkeeper Johny Placide's ongoing injury absence; Scotland counters with striker Lawrence Shankland sidelined by hamstring strain since mid-April, tightening the competitive draw pricing at 18% and Haiti's upset chance at 13.5%.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedIf Haiti wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Market Opened: Apr 6, 2026, 6:20 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.fifa.com/fifaplus/en/tournaments/mens/worldcupResolver
0x69c47De9D...If Haiti wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Market Opened: Apr 6, 2026, 6:20 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.fifa.com/fifaplus/en/tournaments/mens/worldcupResolver
0x69c47De9D...Scotland's 66.5% implied probability reflects their superior FIFA ranking (43rd vs. Haiti's 83rd as of April 1), deeper squad with Premier League talent, and European pedigree in a Group C clash at neutral Gillette Stadium on June 13. Trader consensus acknowledges Scotland's group-stage struggles—highlighted by recent friendly defeats to Japan and Ivory Coast—but favors them over resilient underdogs Haiti, surprise qualifiers amid domestic instability and no home games since 2021. Haiti's narrow 1-0 loss to Tunisia in late March showcased defensive grit but limited attack, compounded by goalkeeper Johny Placide's ongoing injury absence; Scotland counters with striker Lawrence Shankland sidelined by hamstring strain since mid-April, tightening the competitive draw pricing at 18% and Haiti's upset chance at 13.5%.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

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