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World Cup Goals H2H: Mbappe vs. Kane

icon for World Cup Goals H2H: Mbappe vs. Kane

World Cup Goals H2H: Mbappe vs. Kane

Mbappe

59% chance
Polymarket
NEW

Mbappe

59% chance
Polymarket
NEW
This market will resolve to “Mbappe” if Kylian Mbappe scores more goals than Harry Kane through all rounds of the main tournament at the 2026 FIFA World Cup. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Kane”. In the event of a tie this market will resolve to 50-50. If a player withdraws, or does not play for any reason, this market will resolve in favor of the opposing player. If both players do not play for any reason, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if it cannot be determined which player scored more goals within that timeframe, this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be the official results published by FIFA. Mbappé holds a modest edge over Kane in this head-to-head goals market, reflecting his status as the slight favorite in Golden Boot betting at around +600 compared to Kane’s +700. Mbappé’s prior World Cup output, including eight goals and the Golden Boot in 2022 plus 12 career tournament strikes, combines with his elite pace and finishing for Real Madrid to support higher expected tallies in an expanded 48-team field. Kane enters on the back of a record 58-61 goal club season at Bayern but faces questions about England’s supporting cast depth and his age of 32. Recent pre-tournament friendlies have highlighted Mbappé’s occasional quiet spells offset by France’s attacking options, while Kane’s consistency remains a strength. Traders view these profiles as creating a narrow but clear probabilistic tilt toward Mbappé outscoring his rival across the group stage and knockout rounds.

This market will resolve to “Mbappe” if Kylian Mbappe scores more goals than Harry Kane through all rounds of the main tournament at the 2026 FIFA World Cup. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Kane”.

In the event of a tie this market will resolve to 50-50.

If a player withdraws, or does not play for any reason, this market will resolve in favor of the opposing player. If both players do not play for any reason, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if it cannot be determined which player scored more goals within that timeframe, this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be the official results published by FIFA.
Volume
$489
End Date
Jul 20, 2026
Market Opened
Jun 4, 2026, 12:23 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Mbappe” if Kylian Mbappe scores more goals than Harry Kane through all rounds of the main tournament at the 2026 FIFA World Cup. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Kane”. In the event of a tie this market will resolve to 50-50. If a player withdraws, or does not play for any reason, this market will resolve in favor of the opposing player. If both players do not play for any reason, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if it cannot be determined which player scored more goals within that timeframe, this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be the official results published by FIFA.
This market will resolve to “Mbappe” if Kylian Mbappe scores more goals than Harry Kane through all rounds of the main tournament at the 2026 FIFA World Cup. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Kane”. In the event of a tie this market will resolve to 50-50. If a player withdraws, or does not play for any reason, this market will resolve in favor of the opposing player. If both players do not play for any reason, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if it cannot be determined which player scored more goals within that timeframe, this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be the official results published by FIFA. Mbappé holds a modest edge over Kane in this head-to-head goals market, reflecting his status as the slight favorite in Golden Boot betting at around +600 compared to Kane’s +700. Mbappé’s prior World Cup output, including eight goals and the Golden Boot in 2022 plus 12 career tournament strikes, combines with his elite pace and finishing for Real Madrid to support higher expected tallies in an expanded 48-team field. Kane enters on the back of a record 58-61 goal club season at Bayern but faces questions about England’s supporting cast depth and his age of 32. Recent pre-tournament friendlies have highlighted Mbappé’s occasional quiet spells offset by France’s attacking options, while Kane’s consistency remains a strength. Traders view these profiles as creating a narrow but clear probabilistic tilt toward Mbappé outscoring his rival across the group stage and knockout rounds.

This market will resolve to “Mbappe” if Kylian Mbappe scores more goals than Harry Kane through all rounds of the main tournament at the 2026 FIFA World Cup. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Kane”.

In the event of a tie this market will resolve to 50-50.

If a player withdraws, or does not play for any reason, this market will resolve in favor of the opposing player. If both players do not play for any reason, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if it cannot be determined which player scored more goals within that timeframe, this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be the official results published by FIFA.
Volume
$489
End Date
Jul 20, 2026
Market Opened
Jun 4, 2026, 12:23 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Mbappe” if Kylian Mbappe scores more goals than Harry Kane through all rounds of the main tournament at the 2026 FIFA World Cup. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Kane”. In the event of a tie this market will resolve to 50-50. If a player withdraws, or does not play for any reason, this market will resolve in favor of the opposing player. If both players do not play for any reason, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if it cannot be determined which player scored more goals within that timeframe, this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be the official results published by FIFA.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"World Cup Goals H2H: Mbappe vs. Kane" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "World Cup Goals H2H: Mbappe vs. Kane" at 59%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 59¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 59% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"World Cup Goals H2H: Mbappe vs. Kane" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Jun 4, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "World Cup Goals H2H: Mbappe vs. Kane," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "World Cup Goals H2H: Mbappe vs. Kane" is "World Cup Goals H2H: Mbappe vs. Kane" at 59%, meaning the market assigns a 59% chance to that outcome. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "World Cup Goals H2H: Mbappe vs. Kane" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.