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Geopolitics·Supreme Leader

Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by...?

icon for Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by...?
Geopolitics·Supreme Leader

Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by...?

$428,019 Vol.

May 31, 2026
Polymarket

$428,019 Vol.

Polymarket

April 30

$146,552 Vol.

1%

May 31

$0 Vol.

4%

June 30

$34,738 Vol.

7%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mojtaba Khamenei talks with Donald Trump by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". A talk is defined as any interaction between Mojtaba Khamenei and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mojtaba Khamenei talks with Donald Trump by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". A talk is defined as any interaction between Mojtaba Khamenei and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mojtaba Khamenei talks with Donald Trump by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". A talk is defined as any interaction between Mojtaba Khamenei and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mojtaba Khamenei talks with Donald Trump by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". A talk is defined as any interaction between Mojtaba Khamenei and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects low implied probability for direct talks between President Trump and Iran's Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei, anchored by Trump's public dismissal of him as an "unacceptable" and potentially incapacitated successor to Ali Khamenei amid the ongoing US-Iran war that escalated in late February 2026. No verified phone calls, meetings, or communications have occurred despite maximum pressure airstrikes and diplomatic maneuvering; Trump confirmed indirect negotiations with Tehran power figures in a April 24 Reuters interview and dispatched envoys Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner to Pakistan for talks around April 19. Recent developments include Mojtaba's first public appearance on April 7 and his April 8 order for negotiators to advance a deal, but he vowed on April 30 to defend nuclear and missile capabilities. Upcoming envoy meetings and potential Hormuz coalition efforts could signal de-escalation, though Trump's preference for intermediaries amid regime skepticism keeps direct engagement unlikely.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mojtaba Khamenei talks with Donald Trump by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".

A talk is defined as any interaction between Mojtaba Khamenei and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$428,019
End Date
Apr 30, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 27, 2026, 2:15 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mojtaba Khamenei talks with Donald Trump by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". A talk is defined as any interaction between Mojtaba Khamenei and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mojtaba Khamenei talks with Donald Trump by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". A talk is defined as any interaction between Mojtaba Khamenei and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mojtaba Khamenei talks with Donald Trump by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". A talk is defined as any interaction between Mojtaba Khamenei and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mojtaba Khamenei talks with Donald Trump by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". A talk is defined as any interaction between Mojtaba Khamenei and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mojtaba Khamenei talks with Donald Trump by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". A talk is defined as any interaction between Mojtaba Khamenei and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects low implied probability for direct talks between President Trump and Iran's Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei, anchored by Trump's public dismissal of him as an "unacceptable" and potentially incapacitated successor to Ali Khamenei amid the ongoing US-Iran war that escalated in late February 2026. No verified phone calls, meetings, or communications have occurred despite maximum pressure airstrikes and diplomatic maneuvering; Trump confirmed indirect negotiations with Tehran power figures in a April 24 Reuters interview and dispatched envoys Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner to Pakistan for talks around April 19. Recent developments include Mojtaba's first public appearance on April 7 and his April 8 order for negotiators to advance a deal, but he vowed on April 30 to defend nuclear and missile capabilities. Upcoming envoy meetings and potential Hormuz coalition efforts could signal de-escalation, though Trump's preference for intermediaries amid regime skepticism keeps direct engagement unlikely.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mojtaba Khamenei talks with Donald Trump by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".

A talk is defined as any interaction between Mojtaba Khamenei and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$428,019
End Date
Apr 30, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 27, 2026, 2:15 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mojtaba Khamenei talks with Donald Trump by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". A talk is defined as any interaction between Mojtaba Khamenei and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by...?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 4 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "June 30" at 7%, followed by "May 31" at 4%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 7¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 7% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by...?" has generated $428K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 11, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by...?," browse the 4 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

This is a wide-open market. The current leader for "Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by...?" is "June 30" at just 7%, with "May 31" close behind at 4%. With no outcome commanding a strong majority, traders see this as highly uncertain, which can present unique trading opportunities. These odds update in real-time, so bookmark this page to watch how the probabilities evolve.

The resolution rules for "Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by...?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.