Amid ongoing US military actions against Iran—including airstrikes, a naval blockade of Iranian ports since mid-April, and over 900 initial strikes launched February 28—formal congressional declaration of war remains absent, with President Trump conducting operations via executive authority under the War Powers Resolution. A Pakistan-brokered two-week ceasefire starting April 8 has strained, as Iran refuses to reopen the Strait of Hormuz without sanction relief, prompting US skepticism toward Tehran's latest April 28 proposal. Congressional Democrats question the 60-day limit for unauthorized hostilities, but historical precedent favors continued executive action over a rare full declaration. Escalation risks persist ahead of potential new strikes or stalled Islamabad talks.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedWill the US officially declare war on Iran by...?
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by...?
$7,434,091 Vol.
Apr 30, 2026
April 30
<1%
December 31
8%
$7,434,091 Vol.
April 30
$2,442,165 Vol.
<1%
December 31
$441,043 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Iran through an act of Congress between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.Amid ongoing US military actions against Iran—including airstrikes, a naval blockade of Iranian ports since mid-April, and over 900 initial strikes launched February 28—formal congressional declaration of war remains absent, with President Trump conducting operations via executive authority under the War Powers Resolution. A Pakistan-brokered two-week ceasefire starting April 8 has strained, as Iran refuses to reopen the Strait of Hormuz without sanction relief, prompting US skepticism toward Tehran's latest April 28 proposal. Congressional Democrats question the 60-day limit for unauthorized hostilities, but historical precedent favors continued executive action over a rare full declaration. Escalation risks persist ahead of potential new strikes or stalled Islamabad talks.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Iran through an act of Congress between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.
Market Opened: Mar 24, 2026, 2:56 PM ET
Volume
$7,434,091End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Mar 24, 2026, 2:56 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Iran through an act of Congress between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.Amid ongoing US military actions against Iran—including airstrikes, a naval blockade of Iranian ports since mid-April, and over 900 initial strikes launched February 28—formal congressional declaration of war remains absent, with President Trump conducting operations via executive authority under the War Powers Resolution. A Pakistan-brokered two-week ceasefire starting April 8 has strained, as Iran refuses to reopen the Strait of Hormuz without sanction relief, prompting US skepticism toward Tehran's latest April 28 proposal. Congressional Democrats question the 60-day limit for unauthorized hostilities, but historical precedent favors continued executive action over a rare full declaration. Escalation risks persist ahead of potential new strikes or stalled Islamabad talks.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Iran through an act of Congress between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$7,434,091End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Mar 24, 2026, 2:56 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Amid ongoing US military actions against Iran—including airstrikes, a naval blockade of Iranian ports since mid-April, and over 900 initial strikes launched February 28—formal congressional declaration of war remains absent, with President Trump conducting operations via executive authority under the War Powers Resolution. A Pakistan-brokered two-week ceasefire starting April 8 has strained, as Iran refuses to reopen the Strait of Hormuz without sanction relief, prompting US skepticism toward Tehran's latest April 28 proposal. Congressional Democrats question the 60-day limit for unauthorized hostilities, but historical precedent favors continued executive action over a rare full declaration. Escalation risks persist ahead of potential new strikes or stalled Islamabad talks.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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