Alexander Volkanovski tops trader consensus at 47% implied probability as reigning UFC featherweight champion after a dominant unanimous decision title defense over Diego Lopes in their rematch at UFC 325 on January 31, bolstering his legacy with multiple successful defenses and elite wrestling-striking blend. Undefeated contender Movsar Evloev follows at 30%, fresh off a majority decision win over Lerone Murphy on March 21 that solidified his No. 1 ranking and path to a potential shot via relentless grappling pressure. Jean Silva's 8.8% reflects his unanimous decision upset over Arnold Allen on January 24, showcasing knockout power amid a 17-3 record. Aljamain Sterling's 7% stems from his recent unanimous victory over Youssef Zalal around April 25, prompting title shot calls after a 3-1 featherweight run leveraging grappling expertise.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedAlexander Volkanovski 53%
Movsar Evloev 24%
Jean Silva 6.5%
Lerone Murphy 5.2%
$12,335 Vol.
$12,335 Vol.
Alexander Volkanovski
47%
Movsar Evloev
29%
Jean Silva
6%
Lerone Murphy
5%
Brian Ortega
4%
Steve Garcia
3%
Arnold Allen
3%
Aljamain Sterling
7%
Yair Rodriguez
<1%
Diego Lopes
<1%
Youssef Zalal
<1%
Alexander Volkanovski 53%
Movsar Evloev 24%
Jean Silva 6.5%
Lerone Murphy 5.2%
$12,335 Vol.
$12,335 Vol.
Alexander Volkanovski
47%
Movsar Evloev
29%
Jean Silva
6%
Lerone Murphy
5%
Brian Ortega
4%
Steve Garcia
3%
Arnold Allen
3%
Aljamain Sterling
7%
Yair Rodriguez
<1%
Diego Lopes
<1%
Youssef Zalal
<1%
Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.
If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
Market Opened: Jan 2, 2026, 6:24 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.
If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Alexander Volkanovski tops trader consensus at 47% implied probability as reigning UFC featherweight champion after a dominant unanimous decision title defense over Diego Lopes in their rematch at UFC 325 on January 31, bolstering his legacy with multiple successful defenses and elite wrestling-striking blend. Undefeated contender Movsar Evloev follows at 30%, fresh off a majority decision win over Lerone Murphy on March 21 that solidified his No. 1 ranking and path to a potential shot via relentless grappling pressure. Jean Silva's 8.8% reflects his unanimous decision upset over Arnold Allen on January 24, showcasing knockout power amid a 17-3 record. Aljamain Sterling's 7% stems from his recent unanimous victory over Youssef Zalal around April 25, prompting title shot calls after a 3-1 featherweight run leveraging grappling expertise.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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