Sean Strickland holds the middleweight title after his split-decision upset over Khamzat Chimaev at UFC 328 in May, giving him the strongest positioning among traders for year-end 2026. His pressure-oriented style and recent win over a previously unbeaten champion underpin the 44% implied probability, though he has yet to make a defense. Nassourdine Imavov sits at 26% as the division’s top contender awaiting a title opportunity, while Chimaev at 19% retains strong support due to his grappling dominance and expressed interest in an immediate rematch. Dricus Du Plessis and others trail further back amid a crowded field where recent form, matchmaking, and any interim developments could quickly alter consensus before additional bouts occur.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedSean Strickland 46.6%
Nassourdine Imavov 34.8%
Khamzat Chimaev 19%
Dricus Du Plessis 7.3%
$863,726 Vol.
$863,726 Vol.
Sean Strickland
44%
Nassourdine Imavov
26%
Khamzat Chimaev
19%
Dricus Du Plessis
7%
Caio Borralho
1%
Brendan Allen
<1%
Israel Adesanya
<1%
Jared Cannonier
<1%
Anthony Hernandez
<1%
Robert Whittaker
<1%
Joe Pyfer
<1%
Reinier de Ridder
<1%
Sean Strickland 46.6%
Nassourdine Imavov 34.8%
Khamzat Chimaev 19%
Dricus Du Plessis 7.3%
$863,726 Vol.
$863,726 Vol.
Sean Strickland
44%
Nassourdine Imavov
26%
Khamzat Chimaev
19%
Dricus Du Plessis
7%
Caio Borralho
1%
Brendan Allen
<1%
Israel Adesanya
<1%
Jared Cannonier
<1%
Anthony Hernandez
<1%
Robert Whittaker
<1%
Joe Pyfer
<1%
Reinier de Ridder
<1%
Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.
If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
Market Opened: Jan 4, 2026, 2:33 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.
If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Sean Strickland holds the middleweight title after his split-decision upset over Khamzat Chimaev at UFC 328 in May, giving him the strongest positioning among traders for year-end 2026. His pressure-oriented style and recent win over a previously unbeaten champion underpin the 44% implied probability, though he has yet to make a defense. Nassourdine Imavov sits at 26% as the division’s top contender awaiting a title opportunity, while Chimaev at 19% retains strong support due to his grappling dominance and expressed interest in an immediate rematch. Dricus Du Plessis and others trail further back amid a crowded field where recent form, matchmaking, and any interim developments could quickly alter consensus before additional bouts occur.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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