Skip to main content
icon for UFC: Who will Max Holloway fight next?
Sports·UFC

UFC: Who will Max Holloway fight next?

icon for UFC: Who will Max Holloway fight next?
Sports·UFC

UFC: Who will Max Holloway fight next?

Alexander Volkanovski 48.0%

Islam Makhachev <1%

Ilia Topuria 0

Justin Gaethje 0

Polymarket

$51,883 Vol.

Alexander Volkanovski 48.0%

Islam Makhachev <1%

Ilia Topuria 0

Justin Gaethje 0

Polymarket

$51,883 Vol.

Alexander Volkanovski

$480 Vol.

48%

Islam Makhachev

$490 Vol.

1%

Ilia Topuria

$536 Vol.

40%

Justin Gaethje

$500 Vol.

46%

Dan Hooker

$20,033 Vol.

41%

Arman Tsarukyan

$520 Vol.

49%

Benoît Saint Denis

$393 Vol.

40%

Paddy Pimblett

$493 Vol.

45%

Mateusz Gamrot

$4,959 Vol.

50%

Maurício Ruffy

$20,838 Vol.

37%

Conor McGregor

$2,640 Vol.

40%

This market will resolve according to the next UFC fighter that Max Holloway is officially announced to face in a UFC bout. Resolution for this market will be based on the next UFC fighter that Max Holloway is officially announced to fight, regardless of whether the fight ends up taking place. Only official announcements from the UFC, which include a scheduled date for the bout, will count. Announcements with no date or which do not confirm that the fight is official, speculation, or other unofficial announcements will not count. If Max Holloway is officially announced to fight any non-listed fighter or no qualifying announcement is made by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.Trader consensus reflects deep uncertainty over Max Holloway's next lightweight matchup following his unanimous decision loss to Charles Oliveira for the BMF title at UFC 326 on March 7, exposing grappling deficiencies against elite wrestlers. Top implied probabilities hover tightly around 45-50% for Mateusz Gamrot and Arman Tsarukyan—both top-ranked contenders with dominant wrestling pedigrees—as recent performances fuel speculation of a stylistic test to rebuild Holloway's contender status. Arman Tsarukyan publicly called Holloway "done" after the fight on April 1, while Gamrot's submission win at UFC 327 has him eyeing elite bouts. Superfight buzz around Conor McGregor for UFC 329 (per Ariel Helwani reports) and rivalries with Alexander Volkanovski or Justin Gaethje keep the field competitive, with no official announcement amid Holloway's ongoing recovery.

This market will resolve according to the next UFC fighter that Max Holloway is officially announced to face in a UFC bout.

Resolution for this market will be based on the next UFC fighter that Max Holloway is officially announced to fight, regardless of whether the fight ends up taking place.

Only official announcements from the UFC, which include a scheduled date for the bout, will count. Announcements with no date or which do not confirm that the fight is official, speculation, or other unofficial announcements will not count.

If Max Holloway is officially announced to fight any non-listed fighter or no qualifying announcement is made by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Volume
$51,883
End Date
Mar 1, 2027
Market Opened
Mar 6, 2026, 7:30 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the next UFC fighter that Max Holloway is officially announced to face in a UFC bout. Resolution for this market will be based on the next UFC fighter that Max Holloway is officially announced to fight, regardless of whether the fight ends up taking place. Only official announcements from the UFC, which include a scheduled date for the bout, will count. Announcements with no date or which do not confirm that the fight is official, speculation, or other unofficial announcements will not count. If Max Holloway is officially announced to fight any non-listed fighter or no qualifying announcement is made by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
This market will resolve according to the next UFC fighter that Max Holloway is officially announced to face in a UFC bout. Resolution for this market will be based on the next UFC fighter that Max Holloway is officially announced to fight, regardless of whether the fight ends up taking place. Only official announcements from the UFC, which include a scheduled date for the bout, will count. Announcements with no date or which do not confirm that the fight is official, speculation, or other unofficial announcements will not count. If Max Holloway is officially announced to fight any non-listed fighter or no qualifying announcement is made by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.Trader consensus reflects deep uncertainty over Max Holloway's next lightweight matchup following his unanimous decision loss to Charles Oliveira for the BMF title at UFC 326 on March 7, exposing grappling deficiencies against elite wrestlers. Top implied probabilities hover tightly around 45-50% for Mateusz Gamrot and Arman Tsarukyan—both top-ranked contenders with dominant wrestling pedigrees—as recent performances fuel speculation of a stylistic test to rebuild Holloway's contender status. Arman Tsarukyan publicly called Holloway "done" after the fight on April 1, while Gamrot's submission win at UFC 327 has him eyeing elite bouts. Superfight buzz around Conor McGregor for UFC 329 (per Ariel Helwani reports) and rivalries with Alexander Volkanovski or Justin Gaethje keep the field competitive, with no official announcement amid Holloway's ongoing recovery.

This market will resolve according to the next UFC fighter that Max Holloway is officially announced to face in a UFC bout.

Resolution for this market will be based on the next UFC fighter that Max Holloway is officially announced to fight, regardless of whether the fight ends up taking place.

Only official announcements from the UFC, which include a scheduled date for the bout, will count. Announcements with no date or which do not confirm that the fight is official, speculation, or other unofficial announcements will not count.

If Max Holloway is officially announced to fight any non-listed fighter or no qualifying announcement is made by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Volume
$51,883
End Date
Mar 1, 2027
Market Opened
Mar 6, 2026, 7:30 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the next UFC fighter that Max Holloway is officially announced to face in a UFC bout. Resolution for this market will be based on the next UFC fighter that Max Holloway is officially announced to fight, regardless of whether the fight ends up taking place. Only official announcements from the UFC, which include a scheduled date for the bout, will count. Announcements with no date or which do not confirm that the fight is official, speculation, or other unofficial announcements will not count. If Max Holloway is officially announced to fight any non-listed fighter or no qualifying announcement is made by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Related

icon for Will Max Holloway fight Conor McGregor next?

Will Max Holloway fight Conor McGregor next?

49%
icon for Will Arman Tsarukyan fight Charles Oliveira next?

Will Arman Tsarukyan fight Charles Oliveira next?

49%
icon for Will Movsar Evloev fight Alexander Volkanovski next?

Will Movsar Evloev fight Alexander Volkanovski next?

72%

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"UFC: Who will Max Holloway fight next?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Mateusz Gamrot" at 50%, followed by "Arman Tsarukyan" at 49%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 50¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 50% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "UFC: Who will Max Holloway fight next?" has generated $51.9K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 7, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "UFC: Who will Max Holloway fight next?," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "UFC: Who will Max Holloway fight next?" is "Mateusz Gamrot" at 50%, meaning the market assigns a 50% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Arman Tsarukyan" at 49%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "UFC: Who will Max Holloway fight next?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.