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icon for MVP Fight Night: Nate Diaz vs. Mike Perry
Sports·Mike Perry

MVP Fight Night: Nate Diaz vs. Mike Perry

icon for MVP Fight Night: Nate Diaz vs. Mike Perry
Sports·Mike Perry

MVP Fight Night: Nate Diaz vs. Mike Perry

Diaz

37% chance
Polymarket
NEW

Diaz

37% chance
Polymarket
NEW
This market will resolve to "Diaz" if Nate Diaz is officially declared the winner of the fight against Mike Perry at Most Valuable Promotions 1: Rousey vs. Carano, scheduled for May 16, 2026. It will resolve to "Perry" if Mike Perry is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond June 1, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.mostvaluablepromotions.com/. Trader consensus favors Mike Perry at 63% implied probability in this welterweight matchup on the MVP MMA 1 card, driven by his active schedule and knockout power in recent BKFC wins over foes like Jeremy Stephens, contrasting Nate Diaz's four-year MMA layoff since submitting Tony Ferguson in 2022. At 41, Diaz faces stylistic challenges against Perry's relentless pressure and bare-knuckle-honed striking, though Diaz's elite cardio and submission game (12 career subs) keep the fight competitive. No major injuries reported post-NYC press conference face-off, where Perry dismissed a training cut as healed; weigh-ins loom as the next key checkpoint ahead of the May 16 Netflix broadcast.

This market will resolve to "Diaz" if Nate Diaz is officially declared the winner of the fight against Mike Perry at Most Valuable Promotions 1: Rousey vs. Carano, scheduled for May 16, 2026.

It will resolve to "Perry" if Mike Perry is officially declared the winner.

If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond June 1, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.mostvaluablepromotions.com/.
Volume
$149
End Date
May 17, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 28, 2026, 2:55 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Diaz" if Nate Diaz is officially declared the winner of the fight against Mike Perry at Most Valuable Promotions 1: Rousey vs. Carano, scheduled for May 16, 2026. It will resolve to "Perry" if Mike Perry is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond June 1, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.mostvaluablepromotions.com/.
This market will resolve to "Diaz" if Nate Diaz is officially declared the winner of the fight against Mike Perry at Most Valuable Promotions 1: Rousey vs. Carano, scheduled for May 16, 2026. It will resolve to "Perry" if Mike Perry is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond June 1, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.mostvaluablepromotions.com/. Trader consensus favors Mike Perry at 63% implied probability in this welterweight matchup on the MVP MMA 1 card, driven by his active schedule and knockout power in recent BKFC wins over foes like Jeremy Stephens, contrasting Nate Diaz's four-year MMA layoff since submitting Tony Ferguson in 2022. At 41, Diaz faces stylistic challenges against Perry's relentless pressure and bare-knuckle-honed striking, though Diaz's elite cardio and submission game (12 career subs) keep the fight competitive. No major injuries reported post-NYC press conference face-off, where Perry dismissed a training cut as healed; weigh-ins loom as the next key checkpoint ahead of the May 16 Netflix broadcast.

This market will resolve to "Diaz" if Nate Diaz is officially declared the winner of the fight against Mike Perry at Most Valuable Promotions 1: Rousey vs. Carano, scheduled for May 16, 2026.

It will resolve to "Perry" if Mike Perry is officially declared the winner.

If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond June 1, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.mostvaluablepromotions.com/.
Volume
$149
End Date
May 17, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 28, 2026, 2:55 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Diaz" if Nate Diaz is officially declared the winner of the fight against Mike Perry at Most Valuable Promotions 1: Rousey vs. Carano, scheduled for May 16, 2026. It will resolve to "Perry" if Mike Perry is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond June 1, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.mostvaluablepromotions.com/.

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Frequently Asked Questions

" MVP Fight Night: Nate Diaz vs. Mike Perry" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is " MVP Fight Night: Nate Diaz vs. Mike Perry" at 37%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 37¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 37% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

" MVP Fight Night: Nate Diaz vs. Mike Perry" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Apr 28, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on " MVP Fight Night: Nate Diaz vs. Mike Perry," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for " MVP Fight Night: Nate Diaz vs. Mike Perry" is " MVP Fight Night: Nate Diaz vs. Mike Perry" at 37%, meaning the market assigns a 37% chance to that outcome. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for " MVP Fight Night: Nate Diaz vs. Mike Perry" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.