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Sports·UFC

Who will Petr Yan fight next?

icon for Who will Petr Yan fight next?
Sports·UFC

Who will Petr Yan fight next?

Merab Dvalishvili 75%

Sean O’Malley 15.8%

Umar Nurmagomedov 6.0%

Payton Talbott 1.1%

Polymarket

$1,034,161 Vol.

Merab Dvalishvili 75%

Sean O’Malley 15.8%

Umar Nurmagomedov 6.0%

Payton Talbott 1.1%

Polymarket

$1,034,161 Vol.

Merab Dvalishvili

$60,061 Vol.

75%

Sean O’Malley

$15,660 Vol.

16%

Umar Nurmagomedov

$15,176 Vol.

6%

Payton Talbott

$7,595 Vol.

1%

Alexander Volkanovski

$431,592 Vol.

1%

Alexandre Pantoja

$7,504 Vol.

<1%

Song Yadong

$39,368 Vol.

<1%

Rob Font

$5,008 Vol.

<1%

Dominick Cruz

$407,202 Vol.

<1%

Henry Cejudo

$8,995 Vol.

<1%

Pedro Munhoz

$12,023 Vol.

<1%

Ricky Simón

$8,029 Vol.

<1%

Cory Sandhagen

$7,192 Vol.

<1%

Deiveson Figueiredo

$8,755 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the next UFC fighter that Petr Yan is officially announced to face in a UFC bout. Resolution for this market will be based on the next UFC fighter that Petr Yan is officially announced to fight, regardless of whether the fight ends up taking place. Only official announcements from the UFC, which include a scheduled date for the bout, will count. Announcements with no date or which do not confirm that the fight is official, speculation, or other unofficial announcements will not count. If Yan is officially announced to fight any non-listed fighter or no qualifying announcement is made by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/).UFC bantamweight champion Petr Yan's recent confirmation that his next title defense is a trilogy bout against Merab Dvalishvili drives the heavy trader consensus at 74.5%, following Yan's unanimous decision victory over the former champ to reclaim gold at UFC 323 in December 2025. Dvalishvili's expressed readiness for an August 2026 rematch, amid ongoing recovery from a broken nose sustained in their second clash, reinforces this positioning, with UFC reportedly guaranteeing the shot. Sean O'Malley trails at 16.3% due to their controversial 2022 split decision at UFC 280 and lingering stylistic intrigue, while Umar Nurmagomedov's 6.0% reflects his undefeated contender status but lacks direct title path momentum. Recent win streaks and divisional rankings shape the wisdom of crowds in this skin-in-the-game market.

This market will resolve according to the next UFC fighter that Petr Yan is officially announced to face in a UFC bout.

Resolution for this market will be based on the next UFC fighter that Petr Yan is officially announced to fight, regardless of whether the fight ends up taking place.

Only official announcements from the UFC, which include a scheduled date for the bout, will count. Announcements with no date or which do not confirm that the fight is official, speculation, or other unofficial announcements will not count.

If Yan is officially announced to fight any non-listed fighter or no qualifying announcement is made by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/).
Volume
$1,034,161
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 8, 2025, 5:17 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the next UFC fighter that Petr Yan is officially announced to face in a UFC bout. Resolution for this market will be based on the next UFC fighter that Petr Yan is officially announced to fight, regardless of whether the fight ends up taking place. Only official announcements from the UFC, which include a scheduled date for the bout, will count. Announcements with no date or which do not confirm that the fight is official, speculation, or other unofficial announcements will not count. If Yan is officially announced to fight any non-listed fighter or no qualifying announcement is made by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/).
This market will resolve according to the next UFC fighter that Petr Yan is officially announced to face in a UFC bout. Resolution for this market will be based on the next UFC fighter that Petr Yan is officially announced to fight, regardless of whether the fight ends up taking place. Only official announcements from the UFC, which include a scheduled date for the bout, will count. Announcements with no date or which do not confirm that the fight is official, speculation, or other unofficial announcements will not count. If Yan is officially announced to fight any non-listed fighter or no qualifying announcement is made by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/).UFC bantamweight champion Petr Yan's recent confirmation that his next title defense is a trilogy bout against Merab Dvalishvili drives the heavy trader consensus at 74.5%, following Yan's unanimous decision victory over the former champ to reclaim gold at UFC 323 in December 2025. Dvalishvili's expressed readiness for an August 2026 rematch, amid ongoing recovery from a broken nose sustained in their second clash, reinforces this positioning, with UFC reportedly guaranteeing the shot. Sean O'Malley trails at 16.3% due to their controversial 2022 split decision at UFC 280 and lingering stylistic intrigue, while Umar Nurmagomedov's 6.0% reflects his undefeated contender status but lacks direct title path momentum. Recent win streaks and divisional rankings shape the wisdom of crowds in this skin-in-the-game market.

This market will resolve according to the next UFC fighter that Petr Yan is officially announced to face in a UFC bout.

Resolution for this market will be based on the next UFC fighter that Petr Yan is officially announced to fight, regardless of whether the fight ends up taking place.

Only official announcements from the UFC, which include a scheduled date for the bout, will count. Announcements with no date or which do not confirm that the fight is official, speculation, or other unofficial announcements will not count.

If Yan is officially announced to fight any non-listed fighter or no qualifying announcement is made by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/).
Volume
$1,034,161
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 8, 2025, 5:17 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the next UFC fighter that Petr Yan is officially announced to face in a UFC bout. Resolution for this market will be based on the next UFC fighter that Petr Yan is officially announced to fight, regardless of whether the fight ends up taking place. Only official announcements from the UFC, which include a scheduled date for the bout, will count. Announcements with no date or which do not confirm that the fight is official, speculation, or other unofficial announcements will not count. If Yan is officially announced to fight any non-listed fighter or no qualifying announcement is made by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/).

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Who will Petr Yan fight next?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 14 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Merab Dvalishvili" at 75%, followed by "Sean O’Malley" at 16%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 75¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 75% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Who will Petr Yan fight next?" has generated $1 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 8, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Who will Petr Yan fight next?," browse the 14 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Who will Petr Yan fight next?" is "Merab Dvalishvili" at 75%, meaning the market assigns a 75% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Sean O’Malley" at 16%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Who will Petr Yan fight next?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.