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Floyd Mayweather vs. Manny Pacquiao 2

icon for Floyd Mayweather vs. Manny Pacquiao 2

Floyd Mayweather vs. Manny Pacquiao 2

Mayweather

63% chance
Polymarket

$59,454 Vol.

Mayweather

63% chance
Polymarket

$59,454 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Mayweather" if Floyd Mayweather is officially declared the winner of the fight against Manny Pacquiao, scheduled for September 19, 2026 at the Sphere in Las Vegas, Nevada. It will resolve to "Pacquiao" if Manny Pacquiao is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond October 3, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the broadcast streamed on Netflix; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Floyd Mayweather at 62.5% implied probability to win the professional rematch against Manny Pacquiao, driven by his 2015 unanimous decision victory, where defensive shoulder roll and counterpunching neutralized Pacquiao's southpaw angles and power. Mayweather's 72-inch reach edge over Pacquiao's 67 inches, combined with recent exhibition bouts against kickboxers like Mike Zambidis, positions him as fresher amid both fighters' advanced ages—49 and 47. Pacquiao's last pro fight ended in a July 2025 majority draw versus Mario Barrios, highlighting potential ring rust despite a recent Provodnikov exhibition. Yesterday's reports of shifting from The Sphere to MGM Grand, with a possible mid-August date, have not altered sentiment favoring Mayweather's stylistic matchup dominance in a likely decision outcome.

This market will resolve to "Mayweather" if Floyd Mayweather is officially declared the winner of the fight against Manny Pacquiao, scheduled for September 19, 2026 at the Sphere in Las Vegas, Nevada.

It will resolve to "Pacquiao" if Manny Pacquiao is officially declared the winner.

If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond October 3, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the broadcast streamed on Netflix; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$59,454
End Date
Sep 20, 2026
Market Opened
Feb 23, 2026, 6:04 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Mayweather" if Floyd Mayweather is officially declared the winner of the fight against Manny Pacquiao, scheduled for September 19, 2026 at the Sphere in Las Vegas, Nevada. It will resolve to "Pacquiao" if Manny Pacquiao is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond October 3, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the broadcast streamed on Netflix; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Mayweather" if Floyd Mayweather is officially declared the winner of the fight against Manny Pacquiao, scheduled for September 19, 2026 at the Sphere in Las Vegas, Nevada. It will resolve to "Pacquiao" if Manny Pacquiao is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond October 3, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the broadcast streamed on Netflix; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Floyd Mayweather at 62.5% implied probability to win the professional rematch against Manny Pacquiao, driven by his 2015 unanimous decision victory, where defensive shoulder roll and counterpunching neutralized Pacquiao's southpaw angles and power. Mayweather's 72-inch reach edge over Pacquiao's 67 inches, combined with recent exhibition bouts against kickboxers like Mike Zambidis, positions him as fresher amid both fighters' advanced ages—49 and 47. Pacquiao's last pro fight ended in a July 2025 majority draw versus Mario Barrios, highlighting potential ring rust despite a recent Provodnikov exhibition. Yesterday's reports of shifting from The Sphere to MGM Grand, with a possible mid-August date, have not altered sentiment favoring Mayweather's stylistic matchup dominance in a likely decision outcome.

This market will resolve to "Mayweather" if Floyd Mayweather is officially declared the winner of the fight against Manny Pacquiao, scheduled for September 19, 2026 at the Sphere in Las Vegas, Nevada.

It will resolve to "Pacquiao" if Manny Pacquiao is officially declared the winner.

If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond October 3, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the broadcast streamed on Netflix; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$59,454
End Date
Sep 20, 2026
Market Opened
Feb 23, 2026, 6:04 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Mayweather" if Floyd Mayweather is officially declared the winner of the fight against Manny Pacquiao, scheduled for September 19, 2026 at the Sphere in Las Vegas, Nevada. It will resolve to "Pacquiao" if Manny Pacquiao is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond October 3, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the broadcast streamed on Netflix; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Floyd Mayweather vs. Manny Pacquiao 2" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Floyd Mayweather vs. Manny Pacquiao 2" at 63%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 63¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 63% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Floyd Mayweather vs. Manny Pacquiao 2" has generated $59.5K in total trading volume since the market launched on Feb 23, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Floyd Mayweather vs. Manny Pacquiao 2," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Floyd Mayweather vs. Manny Pacquiao 2" is "Floyd Mayweather vs. Manny Pacquiao 2" at 63%, meaning the market assigns a 63% chance to that outcome. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Floyd Mayweather vs. Manny Pacquiao 2" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.