Global seismicity has recorded no magnitude 6.5 or greater earthquakes through the first four days of the June 1–7 monitoring window, driving the market-implied 60% probability for zero such events. USGS data show only moderate activity dominated by smaller quakes, including recent magnitude 5.7 and 5.1 events off Northern California near the Mendocino Triple Junction. This aligns with the long-term global average of roughly 25–35 magnitude 6.5+ earthquakes annually, which under Poisson statistics produces a substantial chance of null weeks. No active aftershock sequences or unusual clustering near major subduction zones or fault systems have emerged to shift the outlook. Traders are watching ongoing USGS catalog updates and any new detections through the week’s end for potential changes in resolution odds.