Recent forecast model runs show Moscow's June 16 maximum likely falling between 17–19 °C, with ensemble spreads and minor differences in timing of a weak frontal passage creating the tight market split. Key drivers include modest warm advection ahead of a trough, variable cloud cover that could suppress daytime heating by 1–2 °C, and light southwesterly winds limiting mixing. Historical June climatology places average highs near 20–21 °C, so current guidance reflects slightly cooler-than-normal conditions. Updated short-range model outputs and local observations tomorrow morning will refine the exact peak before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Moscow on June 16?
18°C 32%
19°C 29%
17°C 23%
20°C 11.3%
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
2%
16°C
6%
17°C
23%
18°C
32%
19°C
29%
20°C
11%
21°C
3%
22°C or higher
1%
18°C 32%
19°C 29%
17°C 23%
20°C 11.3%
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
2%
16°C
6%
17°C
23%
18°C
32%
19°C
29%
20°C
11%
21°C
3%
22°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 14, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast model runs show Moscow's June 16 maximum likely falling between 17–19 °C, with ensemble spreads and minor differences in timing of a weak frontal passage creating the tight market split. Key drivers include modest warm advection ahead of a trough, variable cloud cover that could suppress daytime heating by 1–2 °C, and light southwesterly winds limiting mixing. Historical June climatology places average highs near 20–21 °C, so current guidance reflects slightly cooler-than-normal conditions. Updated short-range model outputs and local observations tomorrow morning will refine the exact peak before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes