Senegal holds a slim 47% implied probability edge over Iraq (35.5%) and draw (34.5%) in their FIFA World Cup Group I matchup at neutral BMO Field in Toronto, reflecting trader consensus on Senegal's superior FIFA ranking (around 14th) and squad depth featuring Sadio Mané, Kalidou Koulibaly, and Nicolas Jackson despite confirmed injuries sidelining midfielder Pape Sarr (shoulder) and forward Habib Diallo. Iraq's strong pricing stems from their momentum after securing the final qualification via intercontinental playoffs on April 1, boasting excellent World Cup qualifying form (six wins, two draws in 10 matches), with no reported absences. Absent head-to-head history and neutral venue heighten the closely contested nature, as both navigate a tough group with France and Norway.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedIf Senegal wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Market Opened: Apr 6, 2026, 6:41 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.fifa.com/fifaplus/en/tournaments/mens/worldcupResolver
0x69c47De9D...If Senegal wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Market Opened: Apr 6, 2026, 6:41 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.fifa.com/fifaplus/en/tournaments/mens/worldcupResolver
0x69c47De9D...Senegal holds a slim 47% implied probability edge over Iraq (35.5%) and draw (34.5%) in their FIFA World Cup Group I matchup at neutral BMO Field in Toronto, reflecting trader consensus on Senegal's superior FIFA ranking (around 14th) and squad depth featuring Sadio Mané, Kalidou Koulibaly, and Nicolas Jackson despite confirmed injuries sidelining midfielder Pape Sarr (shoulder) and forward Habib Diallo. Iraq's strong pricing stems from their momentum after securing the final qualification via intercontinental playoffs on April 1, boasting excellent World Cup qualifying form (six wins, two draws in 10 matches), with no reported absences. Absent head-to-head history and neutral venue heighten the closely contested nature, as both navigate a tough group with France and Norway.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

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