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icon for Eurovision 3rd Place 2026

Eurovision 3rd Place 2026

icon for Eurovision 3rd Place 2026

Eurovision 3rd Place 2026

Australia 19%

Finland 17%

Azerbaijan 16%

Israel 16%

Polymarket
NEW

Australia 19%

Finland 17%

Azerbaijan 16%

Israel 16%

Polymarket
NEW
icon for Australia

Australia

$0 Vol.

19%

icon for Finland

Finland

$1,281 Vol.

17%

icon for Azerbaijan

Azerbaijan

$165 Vol.

16%

icon for Israel

Israel

$2 Vol.

16%

icon for Bulgaria

Bulgaria

$0 Vol.

15%

icon for France

France

$0 Vol.

14%

icon for Romania

Romania

$0 Vol.

14%

icon for Greece

Greece

$233 Vol.

13%

icon for Denmark

Denmark

$0 Vol.

13%

icon for Moldova

Moldova

$0 Vol.

13%

icon for Malta

Malta

$46 Vol.

12%

icon for Poland

Poland

$282 Vol.

12%

icon for Belgium

Belgium

$85 Vol.

12%

icon for Cyprus

Cyprus

$15 Vol.

11%

icon for Italy

Italy

$15 Vol.

11%

icon for Lithuania

Lithuania

$258 Vol.

10%

icon for Germany

Germany

$178 Vol.

10%

icon for Estonia

Estonia

$165 Vol.

9%

icon for Sweden

Sweden

$0 Vol.

8%

icon for Ukraine

Ukraine

$0 Vol.

7%

icon for Norway

Norway

$182 Vol.

5%

icon for Albania

Albania

$85 Vol.

4%

icon for Croatia

Croatia

$60 Vol.

4%

icon for Austria

Austria

$165 Vol.

4%

icon for Serbia

Serbia

$1 Vol.

4%

icon for Czechia

Czechia

$0 Vol.

4%

icon for Armenia

Armenia

$70 Vol.

3%

icon for Latvia

Latvia

$258 Vol.

2%

icon for Portugal

Portugal

$175 Vol.

1%

icon for Georgia

Georgia

$180 Vol.

1%

icon for United Kingdom

United Kingdom

$258 Vol.

1%

icon for Luxembourg

Luxembourg

$258 Vol.

1%

icon for San Marino

San Marino

$275 Vol.

1%

icon for Switzerland

Switzerland

$420 Vol.

1%

icon for Montenegro

Montenegro

$640 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 places third in the final. If no third place country is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Post-Semi-Final 1, Portugal's Bandidos do Cante with the soulful "Rosa"—blending traditional cante alentejano harmonies—claims a slim 26% implied probability edge for Eurovision 2026 third place, driven by standout vocal delivery and jury-friendly authenticity that cut through the spectacle-heavy field during yesterday's Vienna qualifiers. Sweden's polished electro-pop "My System" by Felicia, Belgium's icy dance anthem "Dancing on the Ice" by Essyla, and televote powerhouses Georgia, Lithuania, Luxembourg, Malta, and Norway pack 25.5% each, underscoring razor-thin margins in a crowded mid-tier where Finland locks frontrunner status for gold and Greece/Denmark vie for silver. Differentiators like rehearsal staging, diaspora blocs, and jury-televote splits loom large, with Thursday's Semi-Final 2 qualifiers set to jolt sentiment before Saturday's grand final.

This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 places third in the final.

If no third place country is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Volume
$5,751
End Date
May 16, 2026
Market Opened
May 12, 2026, 11:55 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 places third in the final. If no third place country is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 places third in the final. If no third place country is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Post-Semi-Final 1, Portugal's Bandidos do Cante with the soulful "Rosa"—blending traditional cante alentejano harmonies—claims a slim 26% implied probability edge for Eurovision 2026 third place, driven by standout vocal delivery and jury-friendly authenticity that cut through the spectacle-heavy field during yesterday's Vienna qualifiers. Sweden's polished electro-pop "My System" by Felicia, Belgium's icy dance anthem "Dancing on the Ice" by Essyla, and televote powerhouses Georgia, Lithuania, Luxembourg, Malta, and Norway pack 25.5% each, underscoring razor-thin margins in a crowded mid-tier where Finland locks frontrunner status for gold and Greece/Denmark vie for silver. Differentiators like rehearsal staging, diaspora blocs, and jury-televote splits loom large, with Thursday's Semi-Final 2 qualifiers set to jolt sentiment before Saturday's grand final.

This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 places third in the final.

If no third place country is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Volume
$5,751
End Date
May 16, 2026
Market Opened
May 12, 2026, 11:55 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 places third in the final. If no third place country is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Eurovision 3rd Place 2026" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 35 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Australia" at 19%, followed by "Finland" at 17%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 19¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 19% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Eurovision 3rd Place 2026" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on May 12, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Eurovision 3rd Place 2026," browse the 35 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Eurovision 3rd Place 2026" is "Australia" at 19%, meaning the market assigns a 19% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Finland" at 17%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Eurovision 3rd Place 2026" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.