President Trump's frequent personal attacks via Truth Social posts, press conferences, and speeches drive trader consensus at 77% Yes for April 30, reflecting his unbroken pattern of derogatory language since inauguration. In the past week, he mocked French President Macron's marriage in White House remarks, labeled House Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries a "low IQ individual" during tariff disputes, called a female reporter a "disgrace," and another a "wiseguy" at a presser—each qualifying under market rules for direct insults like nicknames or traits such as "stupid" or "weak." Routine briefings today heighten odds of a verifiable statement before midnight ET, though April 28's 38% Yes highlights occasional resolution disputes over context.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado$831,464 Vol.
26 abr 2026
26 de abril
100%
28 de abril
20%
$831,464 Vol.
26 de abril
$202,830 Vol.
100%
28 de abril
$38,878 Vol.
20%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks any non-fictional individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.President Trump's frequent personal attacks via Truth Social posts, press conferences, and speeches drive trader consensus at 77% Yes for April 30, reflecting his unbroken pattern of derogatory language since inauguration. In the past week, he mocked French President Macron's marriage in White House remarks, labeled House Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries a "low IQ individual" during tariff disputes, called a female reporter a "disgrace," and another a "wiseguy" at a presser—each qualifying under market rules for direct insults like nicknames or traits such as "stupid" or "weak." Routine briefings today heighten odds of a verifiable statement before midnight ET, though April 28's 38% Yes highlights occasional resolution disputes over context.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks any non-fictional individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado abierto: Apr 10, 2026, 4:58 PM ET
Volumen
$831,464Fecha de finalización
30 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 10, 2026, 4:58 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Resultado propuesto: Sí
Disputado
Resultado propuesto: Sí
Disputado
Revisión final
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks any non-fictional individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.President Trump's frequent personal attacks via Truth Social posts, press conferences, and speeches drive trader consensus at 77% Yes for April 30, reflecting his unbroken pattern of derogatory language since inauguration. In the past week, he mocked French President Macron's marriage in White House remarks, labeled House Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries a "low IQ individual" during tariff disputes, called a female reporter a "disgrace," and another a "wiseguy" at a presser—each qualifying under market rules for direct insults like nicknames or traits such as "stupid" or "weak." Routine briefings today heighten odds of a verifiable statement before midnight ET, though April 28's 38% Yes highlights occasional resolution disputes over context.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks any non-fictional individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$831,464Fecha de finalización
30 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 10, 2026, 4:58 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Resultado propuesto: Sí
Disputado
Resultado propuesto: Sí
Disputado
Revisión final
President Trump's frequent personal attacks via Truth Social posts, press conferences, and speeches drive trader consensus at 77% Yes for April 30, reflecting his unbroken pattern of derogatory language since inauguration. In the past week, he mocked French President Macron's marriage in White House remarks, labeled House Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries a "low IQ individual" during tariff disputes, called a female reporter a "disgrace," and another a "wiseguy" at a presser—each qualifying under market rules for direct insults like nicknames or traits such as "stupid" or "weak." Routine briefings today heighten odds of a verifiable statement before midnight ET, though April 28's 38% Yes highlights occasional resolution disputes over context.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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