Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors CME Group, which has already self-certified sports event contracts following the CFTC's March 12 advisory urging DCMs to engage sports leagues pre-certification and the historic CFTC-MLB MOU signed March 19 for market integrity. A pivotal April 7 federal appeals court ruling affirmed CFTC's exclusive jurisdiction over such prediction market contracts on designated contract markets, preempting state gambling laws and removing key barriers amid ongoing litigation. Aristotle and Railbird outcomes trade around 56-63%, reflecting trader bets on their entry before June 30, while LedgerX and others lag at 43% or below due to competitive dynamics. CFTC's advance notice of proposed rulemaking, with comments due late April, could shape further self-certifications on sports outcomes like game winners or props.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Qué DCM autocertifican los contratos de eventos deportivos antes del 30 de junio?
¿Qué DCM autocertifican los contratos de eventos deportivos antes del 30 de junio?
$100,560 Vol.

Railbird
54%

LedgerX
52%

Aristóteles
44%

ForecastEx
31%

Small Exchange
13%

CBOE
12%

La empresa Clearing
9%

ICE
8%
$100,560 Vol.

Railbird
54%

LedgerX
52%

Aristóteles
44%

ForecastEx
31%

Small Exchange
13%

CBOE
12%

La empresa Clearing
9%

ICE
8%
The primary resolution source will be official information released by the CFTC or the respective DCM; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Mercado abierto: Apr 1, 2026, 2:58 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...The primary resolution source will be official information released by the CFTC or the respective DCM; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors CME Group, which has already self-certified sports event contracts following the CFTC's March 12 advisory urging DCMs to engage sports leagues pre-certification and the historic CFTC-MLB MOU signed March 19 for market integrity. A pivotal April 7 federal appeals court ruling affirmed CFTC's exclusive jurisdiction over such prediction market contracts on designated contract markets, preempting state gambling laws and removing key barriers amid ongoing litigation. Aristotle and Railbird outcomes trade around 56-63%, reflecting trader bets on their entry before June 30, while LedgerX and others lag at 43% or below due to competitive dynamics. CFTC's advance notice of proposed rulemaking, with comments due late April, could shape further self-certifications on sports outcomes like game winners or props.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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