Google's Gemini 3.1 Pro holds the third spot on the LMSYS Chatbot Arena leaderboard with a robust Elo score, trailing only Anthropic's Claude Opus 4.7—released April 16 and propelled to the top via superior reasoning benchmarks—and OpenAI's GPT-5.5 from its April 23 rollout, cementing 100% trader consensus for Google as the third-best AI model company by April's end. Late-month challengers like DeepSeek's V4 preview (April 24, open weights) and Alibaba's Qwen 3.6-Max (April 20) generated hype with competitive pricing and agentic capabilities but garnered insufficient blind-vote battles to displace Gemini amid the crowded April release wave. With resolution imminent, only an unprecedented voting surge or stealth model drop could realistically upend this positioning, though stabilized rankings reflect the wisdom of crowds backed by real capital.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGoogle 100.0%
Anthropic <1%
Mistral <1%
Baidu <1%
$1,071,092 Vol.
$1,071,092 Vol.
30 abr 2026
Anthropic
No
Mistral
No
Sí
Baidu
No
DeepSeek
No
OpenAI
No
Alibaba
No
ByteDance
No
Moonshot
No
Amazon
No
Z.ai
No
Meta
No
Microsoft
No
xAI
No
Meituan
No
Google 100.0%
Anthropic <1%
Mistral <1%
Baidu <1%
$1,071,092 Vol.
$1,071,092 Vol.
30 abr 2026
Anthropic
$335,802 Vol.
No
Mistral
$15,246 Vol.
No
$153,435 Vol.
Sí
Baidu
$26,383 Vol.
No
DeepSeek
$105,795 Vol.
No
OpenAI
$94,622 Vol.
No
Alibaba
$41,993 Vol.
No
ByteDance
$29,772 Vol.
No
Moonshot
$15,541 Vol.
No
Amazon
$32,628 Vol.
No
Z.ai
$34,831 Vol.
No
Meta
$39,567 Vol.
No
Microsoft
$22,189 Vol.
No
xAI
$110,437 Vol.
No
Meituan
$12,852 Vol.
No
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the third-highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on April 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Google's Gemini 3.1 Pro holds the third spot on the LMSYS Chatbot Arena leaderboard with a robust Elo score, trailing only Anthropic's Claude Opus 4.7—released April 16 and propelled to the top via superior reasoning benchmarks—and OpenAI's GPT-5.5 from its April 23 rollout, cementing 100% trader consensus for Google as the third-best AI model company by April's end. Late-month challengers like DeepSeek's V4 preview (April 24, open weights) and Alibaba's Qwen 3.6-Max (April 20) generated hype with competitive pricing and agentic capabilities but garnered insufficient blind-vote battles to displace Gemini amid the crowded April release wave. With resolution imminent, only an unprecedented voting surge or stealth model drop could realistically upend this positioning, though stabilized rankings reflect the wisdom of crowds backed by real capital.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the third-highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on April 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Mercado abierto: Mar 20, 2026, 4:21 PM ET
Volumen
$1,071,092Fecha de finalización
30 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 20, 2026, 4:21 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: Sí
Sin disputa
Resultado final: Sí
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the third-highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on April 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Google's Gemini 3.1 Pro holds the third spot on the LMSYS Chatbot Arena leaderboard with a robust Elo score, trailing only Anthropic's Claude Opus 4.7—released April 16 and propelled to the top via superior reasoning benchmarks—and OpenAI's GPT-5.5 from its April 23 rollout, cementing 100% trader consensus for Google as the third-best AI model company by April's end. Late-month challengers like DeepSeek's V4 preview (April 24, open weights) and Alibaba's Qwen 3.6-Max (April 20) generated hype with competitive pricing and agentic capabilities but garnered insufficient blind-vote battles to displace Gemini amid the crowded April release wave. With resolution imminent, only an unprecedented voting surge or stealth model drop could realistically upend this positioning, though stabilized rankings reflect the wisdom of crowds backed by real capital.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the third-highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on April 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Volumen
$1,071,092Fecha de finalización
30 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 20, 2026, 4:21 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: Sí
Sin disputa
Resultado final: Sí
Google's Gemini 3.1 Pro holds the third spot on the LMSYS Chatbot Arena leaderboard with a robust Elo score, trailing only Anthropic's Claude Opus 4.7—released April 16 and propelled to the top via superior reasoning benchmarks—and OpenAI's GPT-5.5 from its April 23 rollout, cementing 100% trader consensus for Google as the third-best AI model company by April's end. Late-month challengers like DeepSeek's V4 preview (April 24, open weights) and Alibaba's Qwen 3.6-Max (April 20) generated hype with competitive pricing and agentic capabilities but garnered insufficient blind-vote battles to displace Gemini amid the crowded April release wave. With resolution imminent, only an unprecedented voting surge or stealth model drop could realistically upend this positioning, though stabilized rankings reflect the wisdom of crowds backed by real capital.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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