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Política·Cuba

¿Miguel Díaz-Canel dejará de ser presidente de Cuba antes del 30 de junio?

icon for ¿Miguel Díaz-Canel dejará de ser presidente de Cuba antes del 30 de junio?
Política·Cuba

¿Miguel Díaz-Canel dejará de ser presidente de Cuba antes del 30 de junio?

Sí

23% probabilidad
Polymarket

$241,517 Vol.

Sí

23% probabilidad
Polymarket

$241,517 Vol.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Miguel Díaz-Canel ceases to be the President of Cuba for any period of time between November 18, 2025 and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Miguel Díaz-Canel's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be the government of Cuba, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.Cuban President Miguel Díaz-Canel's recent public statements have solidified trader consensus against his removal by June 30, with "No" implying 77.5% probability. In April NBC and Al Jazeera interviews, he defiantly rejected U.S. pressure to resign, declaring "stepping down is not in our vocabulary" and vowing defense against invasion threats amid ongoing diplomatic talks initiated in March. Despite severe energy blackouts, economic woes, and protests straining the regime, Cuban officials categorically denied leadership changes as a negotiation precondition, while Díaz-Canel led National Defense Day exercises on April 20. Absent verified Communist Party shifts or National Assembly actions, traders view institutional barriers as outweighing external pressures for near-term ouster.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Miguel Díaz-Canel ceases to be the President of Cuba for any period of time between November 18, 2025 and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Miguel Díaz-Canel's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be the government of Cuba, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Volumen
$241,517
Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026
Mercado abierto
Nov 18, 2025, 4:11 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Miguel Díaz-Canel ceases to be the President of Cuba for any period of time between November 18, 2025 and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Miguel Díaz-Canel's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be the government of Cuba, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Miguel Díaz-Canel ceases to be the President of Cuba for any period of time between November 18, 2025 and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Miguel Díaz-Canel's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be the government of Cuba, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.Cuban President Miguel Díaz-Canel's recent public statements have solidified trader consensus against his removal by June 30, with "No" implying 77.5% probability. In April NBC and Al Jazeera interviews, he defiantly rejected U.S. pressure to resign, declaring "stepping down is not in our vocabulary" and vowing defense against invasion threats amid ongoing diplomatic talks initiated in March. Despite severe energy blackouts, economic woes, and protests straining the regime, Cuban officials categorically denied leadership changes as a negotiation precondition, while Díaz-Canel led National Defense Day exercises on April 20. Absent verified Communist Party shifts or National Assembly actions, traders view institutional barriers as outweighing external pressures for near-term ouster.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Miguel Díaz-Canel ceases to be the President of Cuba for any period of time between November 18, 2025 and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Miguel Díaz-Canel's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be the government of Cuba, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Volumen
$241,517
Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026
Mercado abierto
Nov 18, 2025, 4:11 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Miguel Díaz-Canel ceases to be the President of Cuba for any period of time between November 18, 2025 and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Miguel Díaz-Canel's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be the government of Cuba, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿Miguel Díaz-Canel dejará de ser presidente de Cuba antes del 30 de junio?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 2 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "¿Miguel Díaz-Canel dejará de ser presidente de Cuba antes del 30 de junio?" con 23%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 23¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 23% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "¿Miguel Díaz-Canel dejará de ser presidente de Cuba antes del 30 de junio?" ha generado $241.5K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Nov 18, 2025. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "¿Miguel Díaz-Canel dejará de ser presidente de Cuba antes del 30 de junio?", explora los 2 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿Miguel Díaz-Canel dejará de ser presidente de Cuba antes del 30 de junio?" es "¿Miguel Díaz-Canel dejará de ser presidente de Cuba antes del 30 de junio?" con 23%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 23% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿Miguel Díaz-Canel dejará de ser presidente de Cuba antes del 30 de junio?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.