The Makerfield by-election, scheduled for 18 June 2026 following Labour MP Josh Simons’ resignation to enable Greater Manchester mayor Andy Burnham’s candidacy, features a contest dominated by Burnham and Reform UK’s local plumber Robert Kenyon. Recent Opinium polling shows Burnham holding a narrow lead among likely voters amid widespread local frustration with living costs, national politics, and the incumbent government. This dynamic has positioned Kenyon as the clear second-place favorite in trader assessments, reflecting Reform’s appeal in a traditionally Labour seat and the absence of competitive support for other candidates. Campaign developments, including focus groups highlighting voter cynicism and Burnham’s leadership ambitions, have reinforced expectations of a two-horse race where Reform consolidates as the main challenger.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoMakerfield by-election: 2nd Place
Makerfield by-election: 2nd Place
Robert Kenyon 73%
Andy Burnham 22.4%
Rebecca Shepherd 4.8%
John Skipworth <1%
$148,233 Vol.
$148,233 Vol.
18 jun 2026
Robert Kenyon
73%
Andy Burnham
22%
Rebecca Shepherd
5%
John Skipworth
<1%
Simon Finkelstein
<1%
Maria Deery
<1%
James Thomas Bryer
<1%
Robert Kenyon 73%
Andy Burnham 22.4%
Rebecca Shepherd 4.8%
John Skipworth <1%
$148,233 Vol.
$148,233 Vol.
18 jun 2026
Robert Kenyon
$5,494 Vol.
73%
Andy Burnham
$4,221 Vol.
22%
Rebecca Shepherd
$133,985 Vol.
5%
John Skipworth
$1,215 Vol.
<1%
Simon Finkelstein
$1,374 Vol.
<1%
Maria Deery
$788 Vol.
<1%
James Thomas Bryer
$1,158 Vol.
<1%
A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Makerfield is expected to be held on June 18, 2026, following the announced resignation of incumbent Josh Simons.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second most valid votes in the Makerfield parliamentary by-election in 2026.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).The Makerfield by-election, scheduled for 18 June 2026 following Labour MP Josh Simons’ resignation to enable Greater Manchester mayor Andy Burnham’s candidacy, features a contest dominated by Burnham and Reform UK’s local plumber Robert Kenyon. Recent Opinium polling shows Burnham holding a narrow lead among likely voters amid widespread local frustration with living costs, national politics, and the incumbent government. This dynamic has positioned Kenyon as the clear second-place favorite in trader assessments, reflecting Reform’s appeal in a traditionally Labour seat and the absence of competitive support for other candidates. Campaign developments, including focus groups highlighting voter cynicism and Burnham’s leadership ambitions, have reinforced expectations of a two-horse race where Reform consolidates as the main challenger.
A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Makerfield is expected to be held on June 18, 2026, following the announced resignation of incumbent Josh Simons.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second most valid votes in the Makerfield parliamentary by-election in 2026.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second most valid votes in the Makerfield parliamentary by-election in 2026.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).
Mercado abierto: May 21, 2026, 1:42 PM ET
Volumen
$148,233Fecha de finalización
18 jun 2026Mercado abierto
May 21, 2026, 1:42 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Makerfield is expected to be held on June 18, 2026, following the announced resignation of incumbent Josh Simons.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second most valid votes in the Makerfield parliamentary by-election in 2026.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).The Makerfield by-election, scheduled for 18 June 2026 following Labour MP Josh Simons’ resignation to enable Greater Manchester mayor Andy Burnham’s candidacy, features a contest dominated by Burnham and Reform UK’s local plumber Robert Kenyon. Recent Opinium polling shows Burnham holding a narrow lead among likely voters amid widespread local frustration with living costs, national politics, and the incumbent government. This dynamic has positioned Kenyon as the clear second-place favorite in trader assessments, reflecting Reform’s appeal in a traditionally Labour seat and the absence of competitive support for other candidates. Campaign developments, including focus groups highlighting voter cynicism and Burnham’s leadership ambitions, have reinforced expectations of a two-horse race where Reform consolidates as the main challenger.
A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Makerfield is expected to be held on June 18, 2026, following the announced resignation of incumbent Josh Simons.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second most valid votes in the Makerfield parliamentary by-election in 2026.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second most valid votes in the Makerfield parliamentary by-election in 2026.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).
Volumen
$148,233Fecha de finalización
18 jun 2026Mercado abierto
May 21, 2026, 1:42 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Makerfield by-election, scheduled for 18 June 2026 following Labour MP Josh Simons’ resignation to enable Greater Manchester mayor Andy Burnham’s candidacy, features a contest dominated by Burnham and Reform UK’s local plumber Robert Kenyon. Recent Opinium polling shows Burnham holding a narrow lead among likely voters amid widespread local frustration with living costs, national politics, and the incumbent government. This dynamic has positioned Kenyon as the clear second-place favorite in trader assessments, reflecting Reform’s appeal in a traditionally Labour seat and the absence of competitive support for other candidates. Campaign developments, including focus groups highlighting voter cynicism and Burnham’s leadership ambitions, have reinforced expectations of a two-horse race where Reform consolidates as the main challenger.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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