Trader consensus reflects a 93% implied probability against former Prince Andrew receiving a prison sentence, driven by his February 19, 2026, arrest on suspicion of misconduct in public office linked to Jeffrey Epstein files—allegations of sharing sensitive information—followed by swift release after 11 hours without formal charges. As of late April, UK police continue a lengthy investigation, hampered by U.S. reluctance to share unredacted Epstein documents absent a formal request, with no trial date or indictment announced. Historical rarity of prosecuting senior royals, procedural hurdles, and absence of new evidence since the detention underpin the strong "No" pricing, though charges could emerge from ongoing probes.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoSí
$208,501 Vol.
$208,501 Vol.
31 dic 2026
Sí
$208,501 Vol.
$208,501 Vol.
31 dic 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Prince Andrew is sentenced to any time in jail/prison for any charges, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Prince Andrew is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
Civil lawsuits, regulatory actions, administrative complaints, investigations without charges, internal employment actions, or public accusations without the filing of criminal charges will not qualify, even if widely reported or described colloquially as “charges.”
If at any point all charges against Prince Andrew for all criminal cases are dropped for whatever reason, due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or any other situation in which no judgement is rendered or will be rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus reflects a 93% implied probability against former Prince Andrew receiving a prison sentence, driven by his February 19, 2026, arrest on suspicion of misconduct in public office linked to Jeffrey Epstein files—allegations of sharing sensitive information—followed by swift release after 11 hours without formal charges. As of late April, UK police continue a lengthy investigation, hampered by U.S. reluctance to share unredacted Epstein documents absent a formal request, with no trial date or indictment announced. Historical rarity of prosecuting senior royals, procedural hurdles, and absence of new evidence since the detention underpin the strong "No" pricing, though charges could emerge from ongoing probes.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Prince Andrew is sentenced to any time in jail/prison for any charges, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Prince Andrew is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
Civil lawsuits, regulatory actions, administrative complaints, investigations without charges, internal employment actions, or public accusations without the filing of criminal charges will not qualify, even if widely reported or described colloquially as “charges.”
If at any point all charges against Prince Andrew for all criminal cases are dropped for whatever reason, due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or any other situation in which no judgement is rendered or will be rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Prince Andrew is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
Civil lawsuits, regulatory actions, administrative complaints, investigations without charges, internal employment actions, or public accusations without the filing of criminal charges will not qualify, even if widely reported or described colloquially as “charges.”
If at any point all charges against Prince Andrew for all criminal cases are dropped for whatever reason, due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or any other situation in which no judgement is rendered or will be rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Feb 19, 2026, 11:21 AM ET
Volumen
$208,501Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Feb 19, 2026, 11:21 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Prince Andrew is sentenced to any time in jail/prison for any charges, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Prince Andrew is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
Civil lawsuits, regulatory actions, administrative complaints, investigations without charges, internal employment actions, or public accusations without the filing of criminal charges will not qualify, even if widely reported or described colloquially as “charges.”
If at any point all charges against Prince Andrew for all criminal cases are dropped for whatever reason, due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or any other situation in which no judgement is rendered or will be rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus reflects a 93% implied probability against former Prince Andrew receiving a prison sentence, driven by his February 19, 2026, arrest on suspicion of misconduct in public office linked to Jeffrey Epstein files—allegations of sharing sensitive information—followed by swift release after 11 hours without formal charges. As of late April, UK police continue a lengthy investigation, hampered by U.S. reluctance to share unredacted Epstein documents absent a formal request, with no trial date or indictment announced. Historical rarity of prosecuting senior royals, procedural hurdles, and absence of new evidence since the detention underpin the strong "No" pricing, though charges could emerge from ongoing probes.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Prince Andrew is sentenced to any time in jail/prison for any charges, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Prince Andrew is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
Civil lawsuits, regulatory actions, administrative complaints, investigations without charges, internal employment actions, or public accusations without the filing of criminal charges will not qualify, even if widely reported or described colloquially as “charges.”
If at any point all charges against Prince Andrew for all criminal cases are dropped for whatever reason, due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or any other situation in which no judgement is rendered or will be rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Prince Andrew is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
Civil lawsuits, regulatory actions, administrative complaints, investigations without charges, internal employment actions, or public accusations without the filing of criminal charges will not qualify, even if widely reported or described colloquially as “charges.”
If at any point all charges against Prince Andrew for all criminal cases are dropped for whatever reason, due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or any other situation in which no judgement is rendered or will be rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$208,501Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Feb 19, 2026, 11:21 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus reflects a 93% implied probability against former Prince Andrew receiving a prison sentence, driven by his February 19, 2026, arrest on suspicion of misconduct in public office linked to Jeffrey Epstein files—allegations of sharing sensitive information—followed by swift release after 11 hours without formal charges. As of late April, UK police continue a lengthy investigation, hampered by U.S. reluctance to share unredacted Epstein documents absent a formal request, with no trial date or indictment announced. Historical rarity of prosecuting senior royals, procedural hurdles, and absence of new evidence since the detention underpin the strong "No" pricing, though charges could emerge from ongoing probes.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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