Anthropic’s confidential IPO filing on June 1, 2026, and its selection of Morgan Stanley and Goldman Sachs as the two primary bookrunners have established the lead-left contest as the central driver of trader sentiment, with Morgan Stanley holding a 41% implied probability versus Goldman’s 26%. Both banks are competing aggressively for the prestigious lead underwriter role that determines prospectus positioning, share allocation influence, and fees on what could be a multi-billion-dollar raise, following similar dynamics in the recent SpaceX IPO where Goldman secured lead left. Other firms such as JPMorgan appear limited to supporting roles, explaining their sub-3% odds, while the absence of new bank mandates or regulatory shifts since early June has kept probabilities anchored to this narrow competition. Market participants are monitoring any updates on the final lead designation ahead of a potential fall 2026 offering.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoMorgan Stanley 40%
Goldman Sachs 26%
Bank of America 2.5%
JPMorgan 2.3%
$34,085 Vol.
$34,085 Vol.
31 dic 2027
Morgan Stanley
40%
Goldman Sachs
26%
JPMorgan
2%
Bank of America
3%
Citigroup
1%
Barclays
2%
UBS
1%
Deutsche Bank
1%
Wells Fargo
1%
Morgan Stanley 40%
Goldman Sachs 26%
Bank of America 2.5%
JPMorgan 2.3%
$34,085 Vol.
$34,085 Vol.
31 dic 2027
Morgan Stanley
$7,366 Vol.
40%
Goldman Sachs
$4,968 Vol.
26%
JPMorgan
$5,028 Vol.
2%
Bank of America
$3,315 Vol.
3%
Citigroup
$3,673 Vol.
1%
Barclays
$2,157 Vol.
2%
UBS
$2,618 Vol.
1%
Deutsche Bank
$2,861 Vol.
1%
Wells Fargo
$2,100 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the bank that serves as the lead underwriter in the initial public offering of Anthropic.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or Anthropic completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of Anthropic’s final initial public offering prospectus, once released.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from Anthropic. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Anthropic’s confidential IPO filing on June 1, 2026, and its selection of Morgan Stanley and Goldman Sachs as the two primary bookrunners have established the lead-left contest as the central driver of trader sentiment, with Morgan Stanley holding a 41% implied probability versus Goldman’s 26%. Both banks are competing aggressively for the prestigious lead underwriter role that determines prospectus positioning, share allocation influence, and fees on what could be a multi-billion-dollar raise, following similar dynamics in the recent SpaceX IPO where Goldman secured lead left. Other firms such as JPMorgan appear limited to supporting roles, explaining their sub-3% odds, while the absence of new bank mandates or regulatory shifts since early June has kept probabilities anchored to this narrow competition. Market participants are monitoring any updates on the final lead designation ahead of a potential fall 2026 offering.
This market will resolve according to the bank that serves as the lead underwriter in the initial public offering of Anthropic.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or Anthropic completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of Anthropic’s final initial public offering prospectus, once released.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from Anthropic. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or Anthropic completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of Anthropic’s final initial public offering prospectus, once released.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from Anthropic. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Jun 1, 2026, 5:06 PM ET
Volumen
$34,085Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2027Mercado abierto
Jun 1, 2026, 5:06 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the bank that serves as the lead underwriter in the initial public offering of Anthropic.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or Anthropic completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of Anthropic’s final initial public offering prospectus, once released.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from Anthropic. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Anthropic’s confidential IPO filing on June 1, 2026, and its selection of Morgan Stanley and Goldman Sachs as the two primary bookrunners have established the lead-left contest as the central driver of trader sentiment, with Morgan Stanley holding a 41% implied probability versus Goldman’s 26%. Both banks are competing aggressively for the prestigious lead underwriter role that determines prospectus positioning, share allocation influence, and fees on what could be a multi-billion-dollar raise, following similar dynamics in the recent SpaceX IPO where Goldman secured lead left. Other firms such as JPMorgan appear limited to supporting roles, explaining their sub-3% odds, while the absence of new bank mandates or regulatory shifts since early June has kept probabilities anchored to this narrow competition. Market participants are monitoring any updates on the final lead designation ahead of a potential fall 2026 offering.
This market will resolve according to the bank that serves as the lead underwriter in the initial public offering of Anthropic.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or Anthropic completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of Anthropic’s final initial public offering prospectus, once released.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from Anthropic. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or Anthropic completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of Anthropic’s final initial public offering prospectus, once released.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from Anthropic. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$34,085Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2027Mercado abierto
Jun 1, 2026, 5:06 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Anthropic’s confidential IPO filing on June 1, 2026, and its selection of Morgan Stanley and Goldman Sachs as the two primary bookrunners have established the lead-left contest as the central driver of trader sentiment, with Morgan Stanley holding a 41% implied probability versus Goldman’s 26%. Both banks are competing aggressively for the prestigious lead underwriter role that determines prospectus positioning, share allocation influence, and fees on what could be a multi-billion-dollar raise, following similar dynamics in the recent SpaceX IPO where Goldman secured lead left. Other firms such as JPMorgan appear limited to supporting roles, explaining their sub-3% odds, while the absence of new bank mandates or regulatory shifts since early June has kept probabilities anchored to this narrow competition. Market participants are monitoring any updates on the final lead designation ahead of a potential fall 2026 offering.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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