Morgan Stanley and Goldman Sachs lead trader expectations for the lead-left role in Anthropic’s IPO following the company’s confidential S-1 filing on June 1, 2026, and their joint selection as top bookrunners. Market-implied odds of 40.5% and 26.0% respectively price in the two banks’ deep technology-sector relationships, execution track records on large AI-related offerings, and ongoing competition for allocation authority amid a potential $60 billion-plus deal targeted as early as October. JPMorgan’s inclusion as a participant has not materially shifted positioning, while other firms trail due to narrower mandates. Recent Fortune reporting on the “lead left” horse race between the bulge brackets, alongside SpaceX’s May assignment of Goldman to that position, has reinforced the current pricing without resolving the outcome ahead of final syndicate decisions.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoMorgan Stanley 41%
Goldman Sachs 26%
Bank of America 2.7%
JPMorgan 2.3%
$34,080 Vol.
$34,080 Vol.
Morgan Stanley
41%
Goldman Sachs
26%
JPMorgan
2%
Bank of America
3%
Citigroup
1%
Barclays
2%
UBS
1%
Deutsche Bank
1%
Wells Fargo
1%
Morgan Stanley 41%
Goldman Sachs 26%
Bank of America 2.7%
JPMorgan 2.3%
$34,080 Vol.
$34,080 Vol.
Morgan Stanley
41%
Goldman Sachs
26%
JPMorgan
2%
Bank of America
3%
Citigroup
1%
Barclays
2%
UBS
1%
Deutsche Bank
1%
Wells Fargo
1%
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or Anthropic completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of Anthropic’s final initial public offering prospectus, once released.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from Anthropic. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Jun 1, 2026, 5:06 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or Anthropic completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of Anthropic’s final initial public offering prospectus, once released.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from Anthropic. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Morgan Stanley and Goldman Sachs lead trader expectations for the lead-left role in Anthropic’s IPO following the company’s confidential S-1 filing on June 1, 2026, and their joint selection as top bookrunners. Market-implied odds of 40.5% and 26.0% respectively price in the two banks’ deep technology-sector relationships, execution track records on large AI-related offerings, and ongoing competition for allocation authority amid a potential $60 billion-plus deal targeted as early as October. JPMorgan’s inclusion as a participant has not materially shifted positioning, while other firms trail due to narrower mandates. Recent Fortune reporting on the “lead left” horse race between the bulge brackets, alongside SpaceX’s May assignment of Goldman to that position, has reinforced the current pricing without resolving the outcome ahead of final syndicate decisions.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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