**Global seismicity patterns and a major aftershock sequence have driven the overwhelming market consensus toward more than nine magnitude 5.5+ earthquakes during June 8–14.** The June 8 Mw 7.8 event offshore southern Mindanao, Philippines, triggered multiple aftershocks reaching or exceeding 5.5, including events on June 8 and June 11, while additional M5.5+ quakes occurred elsewhere along mid-ocean ridges and subduction zones. USGS and international catalogs show typical weekly counts of M5.5+ events worldwide fall in the 10–20 range under normal background conditions, with the Philippine sequence pushing totals higher. Trader positioning reflects confirmed detections through mid-week and the low probability of an abrupt global quiescence. Only an unprecedented, simultaneous drop across all major seismic zones could realistically shift the outcome below nine.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Cuántos terremotos de 5.5 o más del 8 al 14 de junio?
¿Cuántos terremotos de 5.5 o más del 8 al 14 de junio?
>9 99.6%
9 <1%
≤3 <1%
4 <1%
$36,291 Vol.
$36,291 Vol.
15 jun 2026
≤3
<1%
4
<1%
5
<1%
6
<1%
7
<1%
8
<1%
9
1%
>9
100%
>9 99.6%
9 <1%
≤3 <1%
4 <1%
$36,291 Vol.
$36,291 Vol.
15 jun 2026
≤3
$3,377 Vol.
<1%
4
$2,340 Vol.
<1%
5
$3,737 Vol.
<1%
6
$4,037 Vol.
<1%
7
$4,080 Vol.
<1%
8
$4,746 Vol.
<1%
9
$3,521 Vol.
1%
>9
$10,453 Vol.
100%
This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 5.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between June 8, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, and June 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.**Global seismicity patterns and a major aftershock sequence have driven the overwhelming market consensus toward more than nine magnitude 5.5+ earthquakes during June 8–14.** The June 8 Mw 7.8 event offshore southern Mindanao, Philippines, triggered multiple aftershocks reaching or exceeding 5.5, including events on June 8 and June 11, while additional M5.5+ quakes occurred elsewhere along mid-ocean ridges and subduction zones. USGS and international catalogs show typical weekly counts of M5.5+ events worldwide fall in the 10–20 range under normal background conditions, with the Philippine sequence pushing totals higher. Trader positioning reflects confirmed detections through mid-week and the low probability of an abrupt global quiescence. Only an unprecedented, simultaneous drop across all major seismic zones could realistically shift the outcome below nine.
This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 5.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between June 8, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, and June 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
Mercado abierto: Jun 5, 2026, 6:47 PM ET
Volumen
$36,291Fecha de finalización
15 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 5, 2026, 6:47 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 5.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between June 8, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, and June 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.**Global seismicity patterns and a major aftershock sequence have driven the overwhelming market consensus toward more than nine magnitude 5.5+ earthquakes during June 8–14.** The June 8 Mw 7.8 event offshore southern Mindanao, Philippines, triggered multiple aftershocks reaching or exceeding 5.5, including events on June 8 and June 11, while additional M5.5+ quakes occurred elsewhere along mid-ocean ridges and subduction zones. USGS and international catalogs show typical weekly counts of M5.5+ events worldwide fall in the 10–20 range under normal background conditions, with the Philippine sequence pushing totals higher. Trader positioning reflects confirmed detections through mid-week and the low probability of an abrupt global quiescence. Only an unprecedented, simultaneous drop across all major seismic zones could realistically shift the outcome below nine.
This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 5.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between June 8, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, and June 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
Volumen
$36,291Fecha de finalización
15 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 5, 2026, 6:47 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Global seismicity patterns and a major aftershock sequence have driven the overwhelming market consensus toward more than nine magnitude 5.5+ earthquakes during June 8–14.** The June 8 Mw 7.8 event offshore southern Mindanao, Philippines, triggered multiple aftershocks reaching or exceeding 5.5, including events on June 8 and June 11, while additional M5.5+ quakes occurred elsewhere along mid-ocean ridges and subduction zones. USGS and international catalogs show typical weekly counts of M5.5+ events worldwide fall in the 10–20 range under normal background conditions, with the Philippine sequence pushing totals higher. Trader positioning reflects confirmed detections through mid-week and the low probability of an abrupt global quiescence. Only an unprecedented, simultaneous drop across all major seismic zones could realistically shift the outcome below nine.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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