Scattered thunderstorms and increased cloud cover from sea breeze boundaries are capping daytime heating in Houston on June 6, keeping the official high near or slightly below the 86°F National Weather Service forecast and well under the 91°F seasonal normal. These conditions have shifted trader consensus toward the 86-87°F bin at 40.5% implied probability, with 84-85°F and 88-89°F close behind as model guidance shows modest variability in storm timing and coverage. Historical June patterns indicate that persistent moisture and reduced insolation frequently limit highs to the mid-80s when convective activity develops early, reinforcing the current market positioning ahead of any final observational adjustments.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Houston on June 6?
Highest temperature in Houston on June 6?
86-87°F 39%
84-85°F 23%
88-89°F 18%
82-83°F 11%
NUEVO
$10,389 Vol.
NUEVO
$10,389 Vol.
6 jun 2026
75°F or below
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
11%
84-85°F
23%
86-87°F
39%
88-89°F
18%
90-91°F
8%
92-93°F
1%
94°F or higher
<1%
86-87°F 39%
84-85°F 23%
88-89°F 18%
82-83°F 11%
NUEVO
$10,389 Vol.
NUEVO
$10,389 Vol.
6 jun 2026
75°F or below
$274 Vol.
<1%
76-77°F
$109 Vol.
<1%
78-79°F
$1,282 Vol.
<1%
80-81°F
$1,994 Vol.
1%
82-83°F
$1,515 Vol.
11%
84-85°F
$1,166 Vol.
23%
86-87°F
$933 Vol.
39%
88-89°F
$1,429 Vol.
18%
90-91°F
$810 Vol.
8%
92-93°F
$804 Vol.
1%
94°F or higher
$127 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Scattered thunderstorms and increased cloud cover from sea breeze boundaries are capping daytime heating in Houston on June 6, keeping the official high near or slightly below the 86°F National Weather Service forecast and well under the 91°F seasonal normal. These conditions have shifted trader consensus toward the 86-87°F bin at 40.5% implied probability, with 84-85°F and 88-89°F close behind as model guidance shows modest variability in storm timing and coverage. Historical June patterns indicate that persistent moisture and reduced insolation frequently limit highs to the mid-80s when convective activity develops early, reinforcing the current market positioning ahead of any final observational adjustments.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 5, 2026, 12:18 AM ET
Volumen
$10,389Fecha de finalización
6 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 5, 2026, 12:18 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Scattered thunderstorms and increased cloud cover from sea breeze boundaries are capping daytime heating in Houston on June 6, keeping the official high near or slightly below the 86°F National Weather Service forecast and well under the 91°F seasonal normal. These conditions have shifted trader consensus toward the 86-87°F bin at 40.5% implied probability, with 84-85°F and 88-89°F close behind as model guidance shows modest variability in storm timing and coverage. Historical June patterns indicate that persistent moisture and reduced insolation frequently limit highs to the mid-80s when convective activity develops early, reinforcing the current market positioning ahead of any final observational adjustments.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$10,389Fecha de finalización
6 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 5, 2026, 12:18 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Scattered thunderstorms and increased cloud cover from sea breeze boundaries are capping daytime heating in Houston on June 6, keeping the official high near or slightly below the 86°F National Weather Service forecast and well under the 91°F seasonal normal. These conditions have shifted trader consensus toward the 86-87°F bin at 40.5% implied probability, with 84-85°F and 88-89°F close behind as model guidance shows modest variability in storm timing and coverage. Historical June patterns indicate that persistent moisture and reduced insolation frequently limit highs to the mid-80s when convective activity develops early, reinforcing the current market positioning ahead of any final observational adjustments.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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