Current PAGASA forecasts for Manila on June 6 project a daytime high near 29–33°C under the influence of the southwest monsoon, or Habagat, which brings widespread cloud cover, scattered showers, and reduced solar radiation that typically caps maximum temperatures. These conditions align with the market-implied 71% probability on 29°C and 23% on 30°C, as the monsoon pattern has moderated peaks below the long-term June average of 32°C. Historical data show June highs rarely exceed 34°C without clear skies or El Niño influence, while recent model consensus emphasizes continued rain chances that favor the lower end of the distribution. Resolution will hinge on official observations from the Port Area station, with any late-day clearing potentially shifting outcomes toward 30°C.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Manila on June 6?
Highest temperature in Manila on June 6?
29°C 84.1%
30°C 13%
31°C 6%
32°C 3.1%
NUEVO
$38,787 Vol.
NUEVO
$38,787 Vol.
6 jun 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
66%
30°C
16%
31°C
6%
32°C
3%
33°C
1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
29°C 84.1%
30°C 13%
31°C 6%
32°C 3.1%
NUEVO
$38,787 Vol.
NUEVO
$38,787 Vol.
6 jun 2026
27°C or below
$7,591 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$5,506 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$2,955 Vol.
66%
30°C
$2,229 Vol.
16%
31°C
$2,300 Vol.
6%
32°C
$3,969 Vol.
3%
33°C
$4,060 Vol.
1%
34°C
$2,562 Vol.
<1%
35°C
$764 Vol.
<1%
36°C
$5,040 Vol.
<1%
37°C or higher
$1,876 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current PAGASA forecasts for Manila on June 6 project a daytime high near 29–33°C under the influence of the southwest monsoon, or Habagat, which brings widespread cloud cover, scattered showers, and reduced solar radiation that typically caps maximum temperatures. These conditions align with the market-implied 71% probability on 29°C and 23% on 30°C, as the monsoon pattern has moderated peaks below the long-term June average of 32°C. Historical data show June highs rarely exceed 34°C without clear skies or El Niño influence, while recent model consensus emphasizes continued rain chances that favor the lower end of the distribution. Resolution will hinge on official observations from the Port Area station, with any late-day clearing potentially shifting outcomes toward 30°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 5, 2026, 12:24 AM ET
Volumen
$38,787Fecha de finalización
6 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 5, 2026, 12:24 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current PAGASA forecasts for Manila on June 6 project a daytime high near 29–33°C under the influence of the southwest monsoon, or Habagat, which brings widespread cloud cover, scattered showers, and reduced solar radiation that typically caps maximum temperatures. These conditions align with the market-implied 71% probability on 29°C and 23% on 30°C, as the monsoon pattern has moderated peaks below the long-term June average of 32°C. Historical data show June highs rarely exceed 34°C without clear skies or El Niño influence, while recent model consensus emphasizes continued rain chances that favor the lower end of the distribution. Resolution will hinge on official observations from the Port Area station, with any late-day clearing potentially shifting outcomes toward 30°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$38,787Fecha de finalización
6 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 5, 2026, 12:24 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current PAGASA forecasts for Manila on June 6 project a daytime high near 29–33°C under the influence of the southwest monsoon, or Habagat, which brings widespread cloud cover, scattered showers, and reduced solar radiation that typically caps maximum temperatures. These conditions align with the market-implied 71% probability on 29°C and 23% on 30°C, as the monsoon pattern has moderated peaks below the long-term June average of 32°C. Historical data show June highs rarely exceed 34°C without clear skies or El Niño influence, while recent model consensus emphasizes continued rain chances that favor the lower end of the distribution. Resolution will hinge on official observations from the Port Area station, with any late-day clearing potentially shifting outcomes toward 30°C.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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