Trader consensus prices England at 55.5% implied probability to win their World Cup 2026 Group L opener against Croatia on June 17 in Arlington, reflecting superior squad depth under Thomas Tuchel despite a neutral venue and mixed head-to-head history—England's 1-0 Euro 2021 group win offset by Croatia's 2018 semifinal triumph. Recent injury blows have widened the gap: Croatia captain Luka Modrić underwent cheekbone surgery three days ago with recovery optimism but tight timing, while Joško Gvardiol nears full fitness from a tibia fracture by late May, alongside absences for Vušković, Fruk, and Pašalić. England's Tino Livramento faces a season-ending thigh concern, yet March friendlies showed resilience (1-1 Uruguay draw, 0-1 Japan loss) versus Croatia's mixed results (2-1 Colombia win, 1-3 Brazil loss), positioning the matchup as closely contested with draw value at 24%.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoIf England wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Mercado abierto: Apr 6, 2026, 6:21 PM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.fifa.com/fifaplus/en/tournaments/mens/worldcupResolver
0x69c47De9D...If England wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Mercado abierto: Apr 6, 2026, 6:21 PM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.fifa.com/fifaplus/en/tournaments/mens/worldcupResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus prices England at 55.5% implied probability to win their World Cup 2026 Group L opener against Croatia on June 17 in Arlington, reflecting superior squad depth under Thomas Tuchel despite a neutral venue and mixed head-to-head history—England's 1-0 Euro 2021 group win offset by Croatia's 2018 semifinal triumph. Recent injury blows have widened the gap: Croatia captain Luka Modrić underwent cheekbone surgery three days ago with recovery optimism but tight timing, while Joško Gvardiol nears full fitness from a tibia fracture by late May, alongside absences for Vušković, Fruk, and Pašalić. England's Tino Livramento faces a season-ending thigh concern, yet March friendlies showed resilience (1-1 Uruguay draw, 0-1 Japan loss) versus Croatia's mixed results (2-1 Colombia win, 1-3 Brazil loss), positioning the matchup as closely contested with draw value at 24%.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado

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