Trader consensus on Polymarket positions Israel as the narrow frontrunner for Eurovision 2026 second place at 22% implied probability, propelled by Noam Bettan's flawless "Michelle" vocals and striking giant diamond prop staging that impressed during rehearsals and secured qualification from Semi-Final 1. Denmark (19%) edges close with Søren Torpegaard Lund's jury-favored ballad "Før vi går hjem," while Germany and Australia's entries—Sarah Engels' slick pop "Fire" and Delta Goodrem's star-powered "Eclipse"—tie at 18%, buoyed by polished performances. With Finland's Linda Lampenius & Pete Parkkonen "Liekinheitin" dominating outright win markets around 40%, the runner-up race hinges on televote surges for Israel versus balanced jury-televote dynamics for Nordic and Big 5 acts. Today's Semi-Final 2 results and Saturday's grand final voting will be pivotal swing factors.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoEurovision 2nd Place 2026
Eurovision 2nd Place 2026
Ukraine 23.1%
Israel 21.7%
Finland 14%
France 13%

Ukraine
15%

Israel
22%

Finland
14%

France
13%

Denmark
13%

Greece
13%

Australia
11%

Poland
9%

Romania
6%

Germany
6%

Sweden
6%

Croatia
4%

Italy
4%

Moldova
3%

Bulgaria
3%

Austria
3%

Belgium
3%

Cyprus
3%

Czechia
3%

Malta
3%

Serbia
2%

Luxembourg
2%

Norway
2%

Albania
2%

United Kingdom
2%

Estonia
1%

Latvia
1%

Switzerland
1%

San Marino
1%

Azerbaijan
1%

Georgia
1%

Lithuania
1%

Montenegro
1%

Armenia
1%

Portugal
<1%
Ukraine 23.1%
Israel 21.7%
Finland 14%
France 13%

Ukraine
15%

Israel
22%

Finland
14%

France
13%

Denmark
13%

Greece
13%

Australia
11%

Poland
9%

Romania
6%

Germany
6%

Sweden
6%

Croatia
4%

Italy
4%

Moldova
3%

Bulgaria
3%

Austria
3%

Belgium
3%

Cyprus
3%

Czechia
3%

Malta
3%

Serbia
2%

Luxembourg
2%

Norway
2%

Albania
2%

United Kingdom
2%

Estonia
1%

Latvia
1%

Switzerland
1%

San Marino
1%

Azerbaijan
1%

Georgia
1%

Lithuania
1%

Montenegro
1%

Armenia
1%

Portugal
<1%
If no second place country is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Mercado abierto: May 12, 2026, 11:55 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If no second place country is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket positions Israel as the narrow frontrunner for Eurovision 2026 second place at 22% implied probability, propelled by Noam Bettan's flawless "Michelle" vocals and striking giant diamond prop staging that impressed during rehearsals and secured qualification from Semi-Final 1. Denmark (19%) edges close with Søren Torpegaard Lund's jury-favored ballad "Før vi går hjem," while Germany and Australia's entries—Sarah Engels' slick pop "Fire" and Delta Goodrem's star-powered "Eclipse"—tie at 18%, buoyed by polished performances. With Finland's Linda Lampenius & Pete Parkkonen "Liekinheitin" dominating outright win markets around 40%, the runner-up race hinges on televote surges for Israel versus balanced jury-televote dynamics for Nordic and Big 5 acts. Today's Semi-Final 2 results and Saturday's grand final voting will be pivotal swing factors.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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