Trader consensus on Polymarket positions Israel as the clear televote frontrunner at 33% implied probability for Eurovision 2026 in Vienna, driven by Noam Bettan's emotive multilingual ballad "Michelle"—released in early March—which has surged in betting markets thanks to its diaspora appeal and strong pre-party reception, echoing Israel's historical televote strength despite jury divides. Greece's Akylas follows closely at 21% with the upbeat "Ferto," bolstered by his February national final victory and a freshly unveiled "Super Ferto" remix generating viral buzz. Finland's violin-pop duo Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen ("Liekinheitin") sits at 19.5%, leading outright winner odds but facing televote skepticism from recent pre-party critiques questioning its edge over competitors. First rehearsals this week and semis on May 12/14 loom as key momentum shifters in this wide-open field.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoEurovisión 2026: Ganador del televoto
Eurovisión 2026: Ganador del televoto
Israel 33%
Grecia 21%
Finlandia 20%
Rumanía 4.9%
$6,320,871 Vol.
$6,320,871 Vol.

Israel
33%

Grecia
21%

Finlandia
20%

Rumanía
5%

Ucrania
4%

Moldavia
3%

Italia
2%

Francia
2%

Serbia
2%

Suecia
1%

Dinamarca
1%

Chipre
1%

Bulgaria
1%

Australia
1%

Polonia
1%

Malta
1%

Suiza
<1%

Croacia
<1%

Alemania
<1%

Estonia
<1%

Bélgica
<1%

Lituania
<1%

Luxemburgo
<1%

Azerbaiyán
<1%

Chequia
<1%

Noruega
<1%

Armenia
<1%

Georgia
<1%

Reino Unido
<1%

Portugal
<1%

Albania
<1%

Austria
<1%

Letonia
<1%

Montenegro
<1%

San Marino
<1%
Israel 33%
Grecia 21%
Finlandia 20%
Rumanía 4.9%
$6,320,871 Vol.
$6,320,871 Vol.

Israel
33%

Grecia
21%

Finlandia
20%

Rumanía
5%

Ucrania
4%

Moldavia
3%

Italia
2%

Francia
2%

Serbia
2%

Suecia
1%

Dinamarca
1%

Chipre
1%

Bulgaria
1%

Australia
1%

Polonia
1%

Malta
1%

Suiza
<1%

Croacia
<1%

Alemania
<1%

Estonia
<1%

Bélgica
<1%

Lituania
<1%

Luxemburgo
<1%

Azerbaiyán
<1%

Chequia
<1%

Noruega
<1%

Armenia
<1%

Georgia
<1%

Reino Unido
<1%

Portugal
<1%

Albania
<1%

Austria
<1%

Letonia
<1%

Montenegro
<1%

San Marino
<1%
This market will resolve to the country that receives the highest number of points from the televote in the Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026.
All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Mercado abierto: Mar 19, 2026, 7:40 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the country that receives the highest number of points from the televote in the Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026.
All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket positions Israel as the clear televote frontrunner at 33% implied probability for Eurovision 2026 in Vienna, driven by Noam Bettan's emotive multilingual ballad "Michelle"—released in early March—which has surged in betting markets thanks to its diaspora appeal and strong pre-party reception, echoing Israel's historical televote strength despite jury divides. Greece's Akylas follows closely at 21% with the upbeat "Ferto," bolstered by his February national final victory and a freshly unveiled "Super Ferto" remix generating viral buzz. Finland's violin-pop duo Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen ("Liekinheitin") sits at 19.5%, leading outright winner odds but facing televote skepticism from recent pre-party critiques questioning its edge over competitors. First rehearsals this week and semis on May 12/14 loom as key momentum shifters in this wide-open field.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes