Trader consensus on Polymarket prices under 40 tweets from Elon Musk over May 14-16 at a 50% implied probability, with 40-64 next at 35%, reflecting his sustained May 2026 posting slowdown to 15-20 daily—down sharply from 50-60 peaks during early-year political hype and Tesla/SpaceX surges. Recent developments, including viral backlash to Christopher Nolan's Odyssey casting (Musk slamming it as "pissing on Homer’s grave" on May 13), Grok Voice topping agentic benchmarks, and Starlink aviation endorsements, sustain engagement without spiking volume. Weekend moderation and focus on xAI advancements, DOGE efficiencies, and Starship site scouting temper expectations, with no major catalysts like launches or controversies poised to drive outsized activity in this 72-hour window.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado<40 50%
40-64 35%
65-89 9%
90-114 1.9%
$206,985 Vol.
$206,985 Vol.
16 may 2026
<40
50%
40-64
35%
65-89
9%
90-114
2%
115-139
1%
140-164
<1%
165-189
<1%
190-214
<1%
215-239
<1%
240+
<1%
<40 50%
40-64 35%
65-89 9%
90-114 1.9%
$206,985 Vol.
$206,985 Vol.
16 may 2026
<40
$42,163 Vol.
50%
40-64
$13,222 Vol.
35%
65-89
$46,984 Vol.
9%
90-114
$11,661 Vol.
2%
115-139
$10,065 Vol.
1%
140-164
$9,208 Vol.
<1%
165-189
$19,796 Vol.
<1%
190-214
$16,497 Vol.
<1%
215-239
$16,193 Vol.
<1%
240+
$21,226 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 14 12:00 PM ET to May 16, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices under 40 tweets from Elon Musk over May 14-16 at a 50% implied probability, with 40-64 next at 35%, reflecting his sustained May 2026 posting slowdown to 15-20 daily—down sharply from 50-60 peaks during early-year political hype and Tesla/SpaceX surges. Recent developments, including viral backlash to Christopher Nolan's Odyssey casting (Musk slamming it as "pissing on Homer’s grave" on May 13), Grok Voice topping agentic benchmarks, and Starlink aviation endorsements, sustain engagement without spiking volume. Weekend moderation and focus on xAI advancements, DOGE efficiencies, and Starship site scouting temper expectations, with no major catalysts like launches or controversies poised to drive outsized activity in this 72-hour window.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 14 12:00 PM ET to May 16, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Mercado abierto: May 11, 2026, 12:01 PM ET
Volumen
$206,985Fecha de finalización
16 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 11, 2026, 12:01 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 14 12:00 PM ET to May 16, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices under 40 tweets from Elon Musk over May 14-16 at a 50% implied probability, with 40-64 next at 35%, reflecting his sustained May 2026 posting slowdown to 15-20 daily—down sharply from 50-60 peaks during early-year political hype and Tesla/SpaceX surges. Recent developments, including viral backlash to Christopher Nolan's Odyssey casting (Musk slamming it as "pissing on Homer’s grave" on May 13), Grok Voice topping agentic benchmarks, and Starlink aviation endorsements, sustain engagement without spiking volume. Weekend moderation and focus on xAI advancements, DOGE efficiencies, and Starship site scouting temper expectations, with no major catalysts like launches or controversies poised to drive outsized activity in this 72-hour window.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 14 12:00 PM ET to May 16, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volumen
$206,985Fecha de finalización
16 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 11, 2026, 12:01 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices under 40 tweets from Elon Musk over May 14-16 at a 50% implied probability, with 40-64 next at 35%, reflecting his sustained May 2026 posting slowdown to 15-20 daily—down sharply from 50-60 peaks during early-year political hype and Tesla/SpaceX surges. Recent developments, including viral backlash to Christopher Nolan's Odyssey casting (Musk slamming it as "pissing on Homer’s grave" on May 13), Grok Voice topping agentic benchmarks, and Starlink aviation endorsements, sustain engagement without spiking volume. Weekend moderation and focus on xAI advancements, DOGE efficiencies, and Starship site scouting temper expectations, with no major catalysts like launches or controversies poised to drive outsized activity in this 72-hour window.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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