As first rehearsals kick off this week in Vienna for the Eurovision Song Contest 2026—semi-finals May 12 and 14, grand final May 16—trader consensus centers on live stagings that frequently upend pre-contest bookmaker frontrunners. Finland's "Liekinheitin" by violinist Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen dominates implied probabilities across fan polls, jury predictions, and televote metrics after strong pre-party showings, positioning it firmly for top-10 contention. Israel's sharp televote rise amid boycott backlash, Denmark's recent climb, and Romania's return post-three-year absence add volatility, while host Austria and Big 5 nations auto-qualify but vie for elite spots in a field shaped by recent national final wrap-ups. Unpredictable jury-televote splits loom large.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoEurovisión 2026: Top 10
Eurovisión 2026: Top 10
$528,208 Vol.

Finlandia
91%

Israel
83%

Francia
82%

Grecia
81%

Dinamarca
78%

Australia
77%

Ucrania
67%

Italia
66%

Suecia
62%

Rumanía
60%

Chipre
42%

Moldavia
41%

Bulgaria
33%

Malta
32%

Chequia
29%

Croacia
28%

Albania
23%

Letonia
17%

Noruega
17%

Lituania
16%

Serbia
16%

Suiza
11%

Luxemburgo
9%

Reino Unido
8%

Montenegro
8%

Armenia
7%

Estonia
6%

Austria
6%

Alemania
6%

Polonia
6%

Bélgica
6%

Portugal
5%

Azerbaiyán
3%

Georgia
3%

San Marino
1%
$528,208 Vol.

Finlandia
91%

Israel
83%

Francia
82%

Grecia
81%

Dinamarca
78%

Australia
77%

Ucrania
67%

Italia
66%

Suecia
62%

Rumanía
60%

Chipre
42%

Moldavia
41%

Bulgaria
33%

Malta
32%

Chequia
29%

Croacia
28%

Albania
23%

Letonia
17%

Noruega
17%

Lituania
16%

Serbia
16%

Suiza
11%

Luxemburgo
9%

Reino Unido
8%

Montenegro
8%

Armenia
7%

Estonia
6%

Austria
6%

Alemania
6%

Polonia
6%

Bélgica
6%

Portugal
5%

Azerbaiyán
3%

Georgia
3%

San Marino
1%
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to finish as one of the top 10 highest scorers based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Mercado abierto: Mar 9, 2026, 5:59 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to finish as one of the top 10 highest scorers based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...As first rehearsals kick off this week in Vienna for the Eurovision Song Contest 2026—semi-finals May 12 and 14, grand final May 16—trader consensus centers on live stagings that frequently upend pre-contest bookmaker frontrunners. Finland's "Liekinheitin" by violinist Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen dominates implied probabilities across fan polls, jury predictions, and televote metrics after strong pre-party showings, positioning it firmly for top-10 contention. Israel's sharp televote rise amid boycott backlash, Denmark's recent climb, and Romania's return post-three-year absence add volatility, while host Austria and Big 5 nations auto-qualify but vie for elite spots in a field shaped by recent national final wrap-ups. Unpredictable jury-televote splits loom large.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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