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icon for Eurovisión 2026: Primera semifinal

Eurovisión 2026: Primera semifinal

icon for Eurovisión 2026: Primera semifinal

Eurovisión 2026: Primera semifinal

$542,973 Vol.

12 may 2026
Polymarket

$542,973 Vol.

Polymarket
icon for Finlandia

Finlandia

$338,696 Vol.

100%

icon for Grecia

Grecia

$5,251 Vol.

98%

icon for Suecia

Suecia

$7,278 Vol.

97%

icon for Israel

Israel

$23,224 Vol.

96%

icon for Moldavia

Moldavia

$20,014 Vol.

92%

icon for Serbia

Serbia

$13,772 Vol.

84%

icon for Croacia

Croacia

$9,249 Vol.

78%

icon for Lituania

Lituania

$5,444 Vol.

67%

icon for Montenegro

Montenegro

$8,818 Vol.

57%

icon for Georgia

Georgia

$8,980 Vol.

51%

icon for Polonia

Polonia

$10,734 Vol.

49%

icon for Portugal

Portugal

$35,429 Vol.

43%

icon for Estonia

Estonia

$35,294 Vol.

40%

icon for Bélgica

Bélgica

$10,270 Vol.

30%

icon for San Marino

San Marino

$10,519 Vol.

14%

This market will resolve to "Yes" for the listed countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision First Semi-Final, scheduled for May 12, 2026. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the First Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.With the Eurovision Song Contest 2026 first semi-final set for May 12 at Vienna's Wiener Stadthalle—just 11 days away—trader consensus heavily favors frontrunners like Finland's Linda Lampenius & Pete Parkkonen ("Liekinheitin"), Greece's Akylas ("Ferto"), Sweden's Felicia ("My System"), Israel’s Noam Bettan ("Michelle"), and Moldova's opener Satoshi ("Viva, Moldova!"), driven by the April 2 running order reveal that positioned powerhouses early for televote momentum. Historical Nordic and Balkan voting blocs, plus strong pre-party buzz, bolster their campaigns in this 15-entry field where 10 advance via 50/50 jury-televote split. Official rehearsals kick off May 2, offering critical live staging previews that could spark momentum shifts or upsets among bubble acts like Serbia, Croatia, and Lithuania before the May 16 grand final.

This market will resolve to "Yes" for the listed countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision First Semi-Final, scheduled for May 12, 2026.

If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".

If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the First Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Volumen
$542,973
Fecha de finalización
12 may 2026
Mercado abierto
Jan 16, 2026, 12:26 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" for the listed countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision First Semi-Final, scheduled for May 12, 2026. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the First Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
This market will resolve to "Yes" for the listed countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision First Semi-Final, scheduled for May 12, 2026. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the First Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.With the Eurovision Song Contest 2026 first semi-final set for May 12 at Vienna's Wiener Stadthalle—just 11 days away—trader consensus heavily favors frontrunners like Finland's Linda Lampenius & Pete Parkkonen ("Liekinheitin"), Greece's Akylas ("Ferto"), Sweden's Felicia ("My System"), Israel’s Noam Bettan ("Michelle"), and Moldova's opener Satoshi ("Viva, Moldova!"), driven by the April 2 running order reveal that positioned powerhouses early for televote momentum. Historical Nordic and Balkan voting blocs, plus strong pre-party buzz, bolster their campaigns in this 15-entry field where 10 advance via 50/50 jury-televote split. Official rehearsals kick off May 2, offering critical live staging previews that could spark momentum shifts or upsets among bubble acts like Serbia, Croatia, and Lithuania before the May 16 grand final.

This market will resolve to "Yes" for the listed countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision First Semi-Final, scheduled for May 12, 2026.

If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".

If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the First Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Volumen
$542,973
Fecha de finalización
12 may 2026
Mercado abierto
Jan 16, 2026, 12:26 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" for the listed countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision First Semi-Final, scheduled for May 12, 2026. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the First Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Eurovisión 2026: Primera semifinal" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 15 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Finlandia" con 100%, seguido de "Grecia" con 98%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 100¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 100% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Eurovisión 2026: Primera semifinal" ha generado $543K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Jan 16, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Eurovisión 2026: Primera semifinal", explora los 15 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Eurovisión 2026: Primera semifinal" es "Finlandia" con 100%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 100% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Grecia" con 98%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Eurovisión 2026: Primera semifinal" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.