Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Elon Musk posting 40-64 times on X from May 4-6 at 60.5% implied probability, aligning with his recent moderated cadence of 15-25 posts daily tracked via dedicated analytics like XTracker. This positioning stems from late April resolutions, including 158 posts April 24-May 1 (averaging ~23 daily), down from March's 42+ peak amid distractions like the ongoing OpenAI trial, DOGE government efficiency role, and Tesla/SpaceX demands. The <40 bucket at 18.5% accounts for potential further slowdowns during weekdays, while higher ranges trail due to sustained lower velocity; watch weekend spikes or breaking Starship news as catalysts through May 6 close.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado40-64 61%
65-89 18%
<40 14%
90-114 7%
NUEVO
$20,717 Vol.
NUEVO
$20,717 Vol.
6 may 2026
<40
14%
40-64
61%
65-89
18%
90-114
7%
115-139
3%
140-164
1%
165-189
<1%
190-214
<1%
215-239
<1%
240+
<1%
40-64 61%
65-89 18%
<40 14%
90-114 7%
NUEVO
$20,717 Vol.
NUEVO
$20,717 Vol.
6 may 2026
<40
$3,710 Vol.
14%
40-64
$1,671 Vol.
61%
65-89
$2,487 Vol.
18%
90-114
$554 Vol.
7%
115-139
$2,823 Vol.
3%
140-164
$1,807 Vol.
1%
165-189
$1,261 Vol.
<1%
190-214
$523 Vol.
<1%
215-239
$1,381 Vol.
<1%
240+
$4,500 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 4 12:00 PM ET to May 6, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Elon Musk posting 40-64 times on X from May 4-6 at 60.5% implied probability, aligning with his recent moderated cadence of 15-25 posts daily tracked via dedicated analytics like XTracker. This positioning stems from late April resolutions, including 158 posts April 24-May 1 (averaging ~23 daily), down from March's 42+ peak amid distractions like the ongoing OpenAI trial, DOGE government efficiency role, and Tesla/SpaceX demands. The <40 bucket at 18.5% accounts for potential further slowdowns during weekdays, while higher ranges trail due to sustained lower velocity; watch weekend spikes or breaking Starship news as catalysts through May 6 close.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 4 12:00 PM ET to May 6, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Mercado abierto: May 2, 2026, 12:01 PM ET
Volumen
$20,717Fecha de finalización
6 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 2, 2026, 12:01 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 4 12:00 PM ET to May 6, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Elon Musk posting 40-64 times on X from May 4-6 at 60.5% implied probability, aligning with his recent moderated cadence of 15-25 posts daily tracked via dedicated analytics like XTracker. This positioning stems from late April resolutions, including 158 posts April 24-May 1 (averaging ~23 daily), down from March's 42+ peak amid distractions like the ongoing OpenAI trial, DOGE government efficiency role, and Tesla/SpaceX demands. The <40 bucket at 18.5% accounts for potential further slowdowns during weekdays, while higher ranges trail due to sustained lower velocity; watch weekend spikes or breaking Starship news as catalysts through May 6 close.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 4 12:00 PM ET to May 6, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volumen
$20,717Fecha de finalización
6 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 2, 2026, 12:01 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Elon Musk posting 40-64 times on X from May 4-6 at 60.5% implied probability, aligning with his recent moderated cadence of 15-25 posts daily tracked via dedicated analytics like XTracker. This positioning stems from late April resolutions, including 158 posts April 24-May 1 (averaging ~23 daily), down from March's 42+ peak amid distractions like the ongoing OpenAI trial, DOGE government efficiency role, and Tesla/SpaceX demands. The <40 bucket at 18.5% accounts for potential further slowdowns during weekdays, while higher ranges trail due to sustained lower velocity; watch weekend spikes or breaking Starship news as catalysts through May 6 close.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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