Trader consensus heavily favors no James Bond actor being chosen soon at 68.5% implied probability, driven by Amazon MGM Studios' recent CinemaCon confirmation that casting remains undecided despite rampant rumors, with producers like Barbara Broccoli urging patience amid a deliberate search process expected to extend into mid-2026 under director Denis Villeneuve. Among contenders, Callum Turner's 4.8% lead reflects his surging betting odds from roles in Masters of the Air and The Boys in the Boat, positioning him as the frontrunner in industry speculation, while Jacob Elordi's 2.9% follows Euphoria and Saltburn buzz elevating his profile. Lower probabilities for Aaron Taylor-Johnson, Henry Cavill, and others underscore the secretive Eon Productions process and lack of official shortlists, with announcement timelines hinging on Villeneuve's Dune: Part Three wrap-up.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Próximo actor de James Bond?
¿Próximo actor de James Bond?
Ningún James Bond elegido 69%
Callum Turner 4.6%
Jacob Elordi 2.9%
Aaron Taylor-Johnson 1.7%
$2,070,603 Vol.
$2,070,603 Vol.

Ningún James Bond elegido
69%

Callum Turner
5%

Jacob Elordi
3%

Aaron Taylor-Johnson
2%

Título del ítem del grupo: James Norton
1%

Theo James
1%

Harris Dickinson
1%

Henry Cavill
1%

Robert James-Collier
1%

Paul Mescal
<1%

Título del ítem del grupo: Tom Hardy
<1%

Pierce Brosnan
<1%

Tom Holland
<1%

Jack Lowdon
<1%

Josh O'Connor
<1%
Ningún James Bond elegido 69%
Callum Turner 4.6%
Jacob Elordi 2.9%
Aaron Taylor-Johnson 1.7%
$2,070,603 Vol.
$2,070,603 Vol.

Ningún James Bond elegido
69%

Callum Turner
5%

Jacob Elordi
3%

Aaron Taylor-Johnson
2%

Título del ítem del grupo: James Norton
1%

Theo James
1%

Harris Dickinson
1%

Henry Cavill
1%

Robert James-Collier
1%

Paul Mescal
<1%

Título del ítem del grupo: Tom Hardy
<1%

Pierce Brosnan
<1%

Tom Holland
<1%

Jack Lowdon
<1%

Josh O'Connor
<1%
This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.
If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Aug 4, 2025, 6:46 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.
If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors no James Bond actor being chosen soon at 68.5% implied probability, driven by Amazon MGM Studios' recent CinemaCon confirmation that casting remains undecided despite rampant rumors, with producers like Barbara Broccoli urging patience amid a deliberate search process expected to extend into mid-2026 under director Denis Villeneuve. Among contenders, Callum Turner's 4.8% lead reflects his surging betting odds from roles in Masters of the Air and The Boys in the Boat, positioning him as the frontrunner in industry speculation, while Jacob Elordi's 2.9% follows Euphoria and Saltburn buzz elevating his profile. Lower probabilities for Aaron Taylor-Johnson, Henry Cavill, and others underscore the secretive Eon Productions process and lack of official shortlists, with announcement timelines hinging on Villeneuve's Dune: Part Three wrap-up.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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